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We develop an averaging approach to robust risk measurement under payoff uncertainty. Instead of taking a worst-case value over an uncertainty neighborhood, we weight nearby payoffs more heavily under a chosen metric and average the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Marcelo Righi , Rodrigo Targino

Measuring model risk is required by regulators on financial and insurance markets. We separate model risk into parameter estimation risk and model specification risk, and we propose expected shortfall type model risk measures applied to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-29 Emese Lazar , Shuyuan Qi , Radu Tunaru

In this paper, we consider a multi-objective control problem for stochastic systems that seeks to minimize a cost of interest while ensuring safety. We introduce a novel measure of safety risk using the conditional value-at-risk and a set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Samantha Samuelson , Insoon Yang

This paper studies dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and several sources of ambiguity. The market consists of a risk-free asset, a zero-coupon bond (both determined by a Vasicek model), and a stock. There is ambiguity about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Julian Hölzermann

We model investor heterogeneity using different required returns on an investment and evaluate the impact on the valuation of an investment. By assuming no disagreement on the cash flows, we emphasize how risk preferences in particular, but…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-13 Carol Alexander , Xi Chen , Charles Ward

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

Conditional forecasts of risk measures play an important role in internal risk management of financial institutions as well as in regulatory capital calculations. In order to assess forecasting performance of a risk measurement procedure,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-22 Natalia Nolde , Johanna F. Ziegel

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution ($\Delta$CoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Jan Dhaene , Roger J. A. Laeven , Yiying Zhang

Recently, literature on dynamic coherent risk measures has broadened the choices for risk-sensitive performance evaluation. A running example includes Cumulative prospect theory and Conditional variance at risk. Most of them can be can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Weixin Wang

It is well known that the minimal superhedging price of a contingent claim is too high for practical use. In a continuous-time model uncertainty framework, we consider a relaxed hedging criterion based on acceptable shortfall risks.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-07 Ludovic Tangpi

The time value of money is a critical factor not only in risk analysis, but also in insurance and financial applications. In this paper, we consider a special class of set-valued risk statistics by introducing the time value of money. In…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-20 Fei Sun , Xiaozhi Fan , Weitao Liu

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-12 Çağın Ararat , Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff

We consider a multi-asset incomplete model of the financial market, where each of $m\geq 2$ risky assets follows the binomial dynamics, and no assumptions are made on the joint distribution of the risky asset price processes. We provide…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Jarek Kędra , Assaf Libman , Victoria Steblovskaya

We study a static portfolio optimization problem with two risk measures: a principle risk measure in the objective function and a secondary risk measure whose value is controlled in the constraints. This problem is of interest when it is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Çağın Ararat

Motivated by recent work on monotone additive statistics and questions regarding optimal risk sharing for return-based risk measures, we investigate the existence, structure, and applications of Meyer risk measures. Those are monetary risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-30 Christian Laudagé , Felix-Benedikt Liebrich

Focusing on gains & losses relative to a risk-free benchmark instead of terminal wealth, we consider an asset allocation problem to maximize time-consistently a mean-risk reward function with a general risk measure which is i)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-18 Felix Fießinger , Mitja Stadje

A new multivariate distribution possessing arbitrarily parametrized and positively dependent univariate Pareto margins is introduced. Unlike the probability law of Asimit et al. (2010) [Asimit, V., Furman, E. and Vernic, R. (2010) On a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

Individual risk models need to capture possible correlations as failing to do so typically results in an underestimation of extreme quantiles of the aggregate loss. Such dependence modelling is particularly important for managing credit…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Michel Denuit , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

Counterfactual explanations indicate the smallest change in input that can translate to a different outcome for a machine learning model. Counterfactuals have generated immense interest in high-stakes applications such as finance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Erfaun Noorani , Pasan Dissanayake , Faisal Hamman , Sanghamitra Dutta

This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Niushan Gao , Cosimo Munari
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