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We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

In portfolio compression, market participants (banks, organizations, companies, financial agents) sign contracts, creating liabilities between each other, which increases the systemic risk. Large, dense markets commonly can be compressed by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Mihály Péter Hanics

This paper investigates optimal withdrawal strategies and behavior of policyholders in a variable annuity (VA) contract with a guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) rider incorporating taxation and a ratchet mechanism for enhancing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-14 Jennifer Alonso-Garcia , Len Patrick Dominic M. Garces , Jonathan Ziveyi

This paper studies a valuation framework for financial contracts subject to reference and counterparty default risks with collateralization requirement. We propose a fixed point approach to analyze the mark-to-market contract value with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-27 Jinbeom Kim , Tim Leung

We suggest a general method for analyzing aggregate insurance claims that arrive according to a very general point process, known in the literature as the order statistic point process, which includes as special cases the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-26 Kristina P. Sendova , Ričardas Zitikis

This paper investigates a dividend optimization problem with a positive creeping-associated terminal value at ruin for spectrally negative Levy processes. We consider an insurance company whose surplus process evolves according to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Chongrui Zhu

This project works with the risk model developed by Li et al. (2015) and quests modelling, estimating and pricing insurance for risks brought in by innovative technologies, or other emerging or latent risks. The model considers two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Weihong Ni , Corina Constantinescu , Alfredo Egídio dos Reis , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

We introduce a collective model for life insurance where the heterogeneity of each insured, including the health state, is modeled by a diffusion process. This model is influenced by concepts in statistical mechanics. Using the proposed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-18 Jirô Akahori , Yuuki Ida , Maho Nishida , Shuji Tamada

Cost-of-capital valuation is a well-established approach to the valuation of liabilities and is one of the cornerstones of current regulatory frameworks for the insurance industry. Standard cost-of-capital considerations typically rely on…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Hansjörg Albrecher , Filip Lindskog , Hervé Zumbach

Put-call parity is a terminal-payoff identity; quoted residuals against traded futures are near zero. Yet enforcing parity is path-dependent, exposing arbitrageurs to daily settlement, margin, and finite capital. Using minute-level NBBO…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Useong Shin

Many early order flow auction designs handle the payment for orders when they execute on the chain rather than when they are won in the auction. Payments in these auctions only take place when the orders are executed, creating a free option…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-12 Max Resnick

Financial options are contracts that specify the right to buy or sell an underlying asset at a strike price by an expiration date. Standard exchanges offer options of predetermined strike values and trade options of different strikes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Xintong Wang , David M. Pennock , Nikhil R. Devanur , David M. Rothschild , Biaoshuai Tao , Michael P. Wellman

The basic financial purpose of an enterprise is maximization of its value. Trade credit management should also contribute to realization of this fundamental aim. Many of the current asset management models that are found in financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-17 Grzegorz Michalski

Prediction models calibrated using historical data may forecast poorly if the dynamics of the present and future differ from observations in the past. For this reason, predictions can be improved if information like forward looking views…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Anas Abdelhakmi , Andrew E. B. Lim

Claim reserving in insurance has been studied through two primary frameworks: the macro-level approach, which estimates reserves at an aggregate level (e.g., Chain-Ladder), and the micro-level approach, which estimates reserves at the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Sebastian Calcetero Vanegas , Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin

Climate change has a dramatic impact, particularly by concentrating rainfall into a few short periods, interspersed by long dry spells. In this context, the role of dams is crucial. We consider the optimal control of a dam, where the water…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Cristina Di Girolami , M'hamed Mrad , Gaïgi , Vathana Ly Vath , Simone Scotti

The distribution of the sum of dependent risks is a crucial aspect in actuarial sciences, risk management and in many branches of applied probability. In this paper, we obtain analytic expressions for the probability density function (pdf)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-02 José María Sarabia , Emilio Gómez-Déniz , Faustino Prieto , Vanesa Jordá

We propose a method for extending a given asset pricing formula to account for two additional sources of risk: the risk associated with future changes in market--calibrated parameters and the remaining risk associated with idiosyncratic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 T. R. Hurd

Infrastructure asset management systems require a flexible deterioration model that can handle various degradation patterns in a unified way. Owing to its appealing monotonic sample paths, independent increments and mathematical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-20 Wang Chen , Arnold X. -X. Yuan

We introduce a new model of combinatorial contracts in which a principal delegates the execution of a costly task to an agent. To complete the task, the agent can take any subset of a given set of unobservable actions, each of which has an…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Paul Duetting , Tomer Ezra , Michal Feldman , Thomas Kesselheim