Related papers: Density estimation from an individual numerical se…
We propose a novel approach for density estimation with exponential families for the case when the true density may not fall within the chosen family. Our approach augments the sufficient statistics with features designed to accumulate…
We study the stochastic convergence of the Ces\`{a}ro mean of a sequence of random variables. These arise naturally in statistical problems that have a sequential component, where the sequence of random variables is typically derived from a…
This paper describes a recursive estimation procedure for multivariate binary densities (probability distributions of vectors of Bernoulli random variables) using orthogonal expansions. For $d$ covariates, there are $2^d$ basis coefficients…
We investigate the problem of density estimation on the unit circle and the unit sphere from a computational perspective. Our primary goal is to develop new density estimators that are both rate-optimal and computationally efficient for…
Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions and…
For high volume data streams and large data warehouses, sampling is used for efficient approximate answers to aggregate queries over selected subsets. Mathematically, we are dealing with a set of weighted items and want to support queries…
We introduce a nonparametric way to estimate the global probability density function for a random persistence diagram. Precisely, a kernel density function centered at a given persistence diagram and a given bandwidth is constructed. Our…
Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…
A pattern of a sequence is a sequence of integer indices with each index describing the order of first occurrence of the respective symbol in the original sequence. In a recent paper, tight general bounds on the block entropy of patterns of…
The problem of estimating the frequencies of an exponential sum has been studied extensively over the last years. It can be understood as a sparse estimation problem, as it strives to identify the sparse representation of a signal using…
For a map of the unit interval with an indifferent fixed point, we prove an upper bound for the variance of all observables of $n$ variables $K:[0,1]^n\to\R$ which are componentwise Lipschitz. The proof is based on coupling and decay of…
We consider the sum of power weighted nearest neighbor distances in a sample of size n from a multivariate density f of possibly unbounded support. We give various criteria guaranteeing that this sum satisfies a law of large numbers for…
The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…
Consistency of the kernel density estimator requires that the kernel bandwidth tends to zero as the sample size grows. In this paper we investigate the question of whether consistency is possible when the bandwidth is fixed, if we consider…
The effect of uncertainties and noise on a quantity of interest (model output) is often better described by its probability density function (PDF) than by its moments. Although density estimation is a common task, the adequacy of…
We present a rigorous numerical scheme for the approximation of the linear response of the invariant density of a map with an indifferent fixed point, with explicit and computed estimates for the error and all the involved constants.
Ensemble forecasting of nonlinear systems involves the use of a model to run forward a discrete ensemble (or set) of initial states. Data assimilation techniques tend to focus on estimating the true state of the system, even though model…
Methods for anomaly detection of new physics processes are often limited to low-dimensional spaces due to the difficulty of learning high-dimensional probability densities. Particularly at the constituent level, incorporating desirable…
This work studies how to estimate the mean-field density of large-scale systems in a distributed manner. Such problems are motivated by the recent swarm control technique that uses mean-field approximations to represent the collective…
The problem of nonparametric estimation of the conditional density of a response, given a vector of explanatory variables, is classical and of prominent importance in many prediction problems since the conditional density provides a more…