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In this manuscript, we discuss a class of difference-based estimators of the autocovariance structure in a semiparametric regression model where the signal is discontinuous and the errors are serially correlated. The signal in this model…
In this paper we consider a regression model that allows for time series covariates as well as heteroscedasticity with a regression function that is modelled nonparametrically. We assume that the regression function changes at some unknown…
Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…
Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…
Statistical dependence measures like mutual information is ideal for analyzing autoencoders, but it can be ill-posed for deterministic, static, noise-free networks. We adopt the variational (Gaussian) formulation that makes dependence among…
Standard regression adjustment gives inconsistent estimates of causal effects when there are time-varying treatment effects and time-varying covariates. Loosely speaking, the issue is that some covariates are post-treatment variables…
We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…
Researchers are often interested in examining between-individual differences in within-individual processes. If the process under investigation is tracked for a long time, its trajectory may show a certain degree of nonlinearity, so that…
We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…
Nonparametric regression with random design is considered. Estimates are defined by minimzing a penalized empirical $L_2$ risk over a suitably chosen class of neural networks with one hidden layer via gradient descent. Here, the gradient…
Let $(Y,X_1,...,X_m)$ be a random vector. It is desired to predict $Y$ based on $(X_1,...,X_m)$. Examples of prediction methods are regression, classification using logistic regression or separating hyperplanes, and so on. We consider the…
Under a partially linear models we study a family of robust estimates for the regression parameter and the regression function when some of the predictor variables take values on a Riemannian manifold. We obtain the consistency and the…
This paper uses the notion of algorithmic stability to derive novel generalization bounds for several families of transductive regression algorithms, both by using convexity and closed-form solutions. Our analysis helps compare the…
We present a general principle for estimating a regression function nonparametrically, allowing for a wide variety of data filtering, for example, repeated left truncation and right censoring. Both the mean and the median regression cases…
Every observation may follow a distribution that is randomly selected in a class of distributions. It is called the distribution uncertainty. This is a fact acknowledged in some research fields such as financial risk measure. Thus, the…
We study nonparametric regression with covariates $X$ and outcome $Y$ under random unbiased perturbations (RUPs) of the conditional distribution $Y|X$, where the marginal distribution of covariates, $P^X$, remains fixed but the conditional…
This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment…
We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…
The limiting distribution for M-estimates in a non-stationary autoregressive model with heavy-tailed error is computationally intractable. To make inferences based on the M-estimates, the bootstrap procedure can be used to approximate the…
We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…