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How many experimental studies would have come to different conclusions had they been run on larger samples? I show how to estimate the expected number of statistically significant results that a set of experiments would have reported had…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Stefan Faridani

Several methods in survival analysis are based on the proportional hazards assumption. However, this assumption is very restrictive and often not justifiable in practice. Therefore, effect estimands that do not rely on the proportional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Merle Munko , Marc Ditzhaus , Dennis Dobler , Jon Genuneit

Data-driven most powerful tests are statistical hypothesis decision-making tools that deliver the greatest power against a fixed null hypothesis among all corresponding data-based tests of a given size. When the underlying data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Albert Vexler , Alan D. Hutson

Power systems are developing very fast nowadays, both in size and in complexity; this situation is a challenge for Early Event Detection (EED). This paper proposes a data- driven unsupervised learning method to handle this challenge.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Xing He , Robert Caiming Qiu , Qian Ai , Yinshuang Cao , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

New tests are developed for two-way ANOVA models with heterogeneous error variances. The testing problems are considered for testing the significant interaction effects, simple effects, and treatment effects. The likelihood ratio tests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Anjana Mondal , Somesh Kumar

Test-time training (TTT) has recently emerged as a promising method to improve the reasoning abilities of large language models (LLMs), in which the model directly learns from test data without access to labels. However, this reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Vanshaj Khattar , Md Rafi ur Rashid , Moumita Choudhury , Jing Liu , Toshiaki Koike-Akino , Ming Jin , Ye Wang

Accelerated life-tests (ALTs) are used for inferring lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products. In particular, step-stress ALTs increase the stress level at which units under test are subject at certain pre-fixed times, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

We develop a method for hybrid analyses that uses external controls to augment internal control arms in randomized controlled trials (RCT) where the degree of borrowing is determined based on similarity between RCT and external control…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 Evan Kwiatkowski , Jiawen Zhu , Xiao Li , Herbert Pang , Grazyna Lieberman , Matthew A. Psioda

In safety-critical deep learning applications, robustness measures the ability of neural models that handle imperceptible perturbations in input data, which may lead to potential safety hazards. Existing pre-deployment robustness assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Wenchuan Mu , Kwan Hui Lim

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often include subgroup analyses to assess whether treatment effects vary across pre-specified patient populations. However, these analyses frequently suffer from small sample sizes which limit the power…

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is known to model human decisions well, with substantial empirical evidence supporting this claim. CPT works by distorting probabilities and is more general than the classic expected utility and coherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-01 Prashanth L. A. , Cheng Jie , Michael Fu , Steve Marcus , Csaba Szepesvári

A central obstacle in the objective assessment of treatment effect (TE) estimators in randomized control trials (RCTs) is the lack of ground truth (or validation set) to test their performance. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Prompt tuning (PT) is an effective approach to adapting pre-trained language models to downstream tasks. Without a good initialization, prompt tuning doesn't perform well under few-shot settings. So pre-trained prompt tuning (PPT) is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Yukun Huang , Kun Qian , Zhou Yu

We abstract the concept of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) as a triple (beta,b,s), where beta is the primary efficacy parameter, b the estimate and s the standard error (s>0). The parameter beta is either a difference of means, a log…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Erik van Zwet , Simon Schwab , Stephen Senn

In many settings, robust data analysis involves computational methods for uncertainty quantification and statistical inference. To design frequentist studies that leverage robust analysis methods, suitable sample sizes to achieve desired…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Luke Hagar , Andrew J. Martin

The growing disparity between the exponential scaling of computational resources and the finite growth of high-quality text data now constrains conventional scaling approaches for large language models (LLMs). To address this challenge, we…

Examples of "doubly robust" estimator for missing data include augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPWT) models (Robins et al., 1994) and penalized splines of propensity prediction (PSPP) models (Zhang and Little, 2009). Doubly-robust…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan V. Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Michael R. Elliott

To perform regression analysis in high dimensions, lasso or ridge estimation are a common choice. However, it has been shown that these methods are not robust to outliers. Therefore, alternatives as penalized M-estimation or the sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Viktoria Öllerer , Christophe Croux , Andreas Alfons

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

Large pre-trained Vision-Language Models (VLMs) like CLIP, despite having remarkable generalization ability, are highly vulnerable to adversarial examples. This work studies the adversarial robustness of VLMs from the novel perspective of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Lin Li , Haoyan Guan , Jianing Qiu , Michael Spratling