Related papers: Divergent estimation error in portfolio optimizati…
The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…
We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…
Decision-changing imitation is a prevalent phenomenon in financial markets, where investors imitate others' decision-changing rates when making their own investment decisions. In this work, we study the optimal investment problem under the…
This paper provides a non-robust interpretation of the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem by relating the distributional uncertainties to the chance probabilities. Our analysis allows a decision-maker to interpret the size…
Iterative numerical algorithms are typically equipped with a stopping criterion, where the iteration process is terminated when some error or misfit measure is deemed to be below a given tolerance. This is a useful setting for comparing…
We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…
In this article, we discuss the optimal allocation problem in an experiment when a regression model is used for statistical analysis. Monotonic convergence for a general class of multiplicative algorithms for $D$-optimality has been…
We consider the problem of Gaussian mixture clustering in the high-dimensional limit where the data consists of $m$ points in $n$ dimensions, $n,m \rightarrow \infty$ and $\alpha = m/n$ stays finite. Using exact but non-rigorous methods…
Estimation of a multivariate regression function from independent and identically distributed data is considered. An estimate is defined which fits a deep neural network consisting of a large number of fully connected neural networks, which…
We extend Relative Robust Portfolio Optimisation models to allow portfolios to optimise their distance to a set of benchmarks. Portfolio managers are also given the option of computing regret in a way which is more in line with market…
In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…
In a general setting, we study a posteriori estimates used in finite element analysis to measure the error between a solution and its approximation. The latter is not necessarily generated by a finite element method. We show that the error…
In this paper we study simulation based optimization algorithms for solving discrete time optimal stopping problems. This type of algorithms became popular among practioneers working in the area of quantitative finance. Using large…
Beta-sorted portfolios -- portfolios comprised of assets with similar covariation to selected risk factors -- are a popular tool in empirical finance to analyze models of (conditional) expected returns. Despite their widespread use, little…
A classic problem in statistics is the estimation of the expectation of random variables from samples. This gives rise to the tightly connected problems of deriving concentration inequalities and confidence sequences, that is confidence…
In financial investing, universal portfolios are a means of constructing portfolios which guarantee a certain level of performance relative to a baseline, while making no statistical assumptions about the future market data. They fall under…
The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…
Portfolio construction is the science of balancing reward and risk; it is at the core of modern finance. In this paper, we tackle the question of optimal decision-making within a Bayesian paradigm, starting from a decision-theoretic…
We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…
Index tracking is a popular form of asset management. Typically, a quadratic function is used to define the tracking error of a portfolio and the look back approach is applied to solve the index tracking problem. We argue that a forward…