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We present a model for price dynamics in the Automated Market Makers (AMM) setting. Within this framework, we propose a reference market price following a geometric Brownian motion. The AMM price is constrained by upper and lower bounds,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-04 Joseph Najnudel , Shen-Ning Tung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Ju-Yi Yen

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

We consider a dynamic pricing problem under unknown demand models. In this problem a seller offers prices to a stream of customers and observes either success or failure in each sale attempt. The underlying demand model is unknown to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-30 Pouya Tehrani , Yixuan Zhai , Qing Zhao

What is the dominating mechanism of the price dynamics in financial systems is of great interest to scientists. The problem whether and how volatilities affect the price movement draws much attention. Although many efforts have been made,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-04 Lei Tan , Bo Zheng , Jun-Jie Chen , Xiong-Fei Jiang

Financial models do not merely analyse markets, but actively shape them. This effect, known as performativity, describes how financial theories and the subsequent actions based on them influence market processes, by creating self-fulfilling…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-19 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

We consider dynamic pricing schemes in online settings where selfish agents generate online events. Previous work on online mechanisms has dealt almost entirely with the goal of maximizing social welfare or revenue in an auction settings.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-07 Ilan Reuven Cohen , Alon Eden , Amos Fiat , Łukasz Jeż

In a market with transaction costs, the price of a derivative can be expressed in terms of (preconsistent) price systems (after Kusuoka (1995)). In this paper, we consider a market with binomial model for stock price and discuss how to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Tzuu-Shuh Chiang , Shang-Yuan Shiu , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

We explore the effects of social influence in a simple market model in which a large number of agents face a binary choice: 'to buy/not to buy' a single unit of a product at a price posted by a single seller (the monopoly case). We consider…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Pierre Nadal , Denis Phan , Mirta B. Gordon , Jean Vannimenus

There is a consensus that human and non-human subjects experience temporal distortions in many stages of their perceptual and decision-making systems. Similarly, intertemporal choice research has shown that decision-makers undervalue future…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-31 Pedro A. Ortega , Naftali Tishby

Basic peculiarities of market price fluctuations are known to be well described by a recently developed random walk model in a temporally deforming quadric potential force whose center is given by a moving average of past price traces…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-29 Kota Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

We consider a novel pricing and advertising framework, where a seller not only sets product price but also designs flexible 'advertising schemes' to influence customers' valuation of the product. We impose no structural restriction on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Shipra Agrawal , Yiding Feng , Wei Tang

Inferring a cause from its effect using observed time series data is a major challenge in natural and social sciences. Assuming the effect is generated by the cause trough a linear system, we propose a new approach based on the hypothesis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Naji Shajarisales , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Shoelkopf , Michel Besserve

In the over-the-counter market in derivatives, we sometimes see large numbers of traders taking the same position and risk. When there is this kind of concentration in the market, the position impacts the pricings of all other derivatives…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

We introduce a general framework for continuous-time betting markets, in which a bookmaker can dynamically control the prices of bets on outcomes of random events. In turn, the prices set by the bookmaker affect the rate or intensity of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Matthew Lorig , Zhou Zhou , Bin Zou

Most of the existing literature on optimal trade execution in limit order book models assumes that resilience is positive. But negative resilience also has a natural interpretation, as it models self-exciting behaviour of the price impact,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-25 Julia Ackermann , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

We study misspecified Bayesian learning in principal-agent relationships, where an agent is assessed by an evaluator and rewarded by the market. The agent's outcome depends on their innate ability, costly effort -- whose effectiveness is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-02 Federico Echenique , Anqi Li

We introduce an agent-based model, in which agents set their prices to maximize profit. At steady state the market self-organizes into three groups: excess producers, consumers and balanced agents, with prices determined by their own…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-03 Bin Li , K. Y. Michael Wong , Amos H. M. Chan , Tsz Yan So , Hermanni Heimonen , Junyi Wei , David Saad

During the last years, European intraday power markets have gained importance for balancing forecast errors due to the rising volumes of intermittent renewable generation. However, compared to day-ahead markets, the drivers for the intraday…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

A combinatorial market consists of a set of indivisible items and a set of agents, where each agent has a valuation function that specifies for each subset of items its value for the given agent. From an optimization point of view, the goal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Kristóf Bérczi , Laura Codazzi , Julian Golak , Alexander Grigoriev

In this paper we present a continuous time dynamical model of heterogeneous agents interacting in a financial market where transactions are cleared by a market maker. The market is composed of fundamentalist, trend following and contrarian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Giuseppe Garofalo , Alessandro Sansone