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Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

This article provides an overview of model predictive control (MPC) frameworks for dynamic operation of nonlinear constrained systems. Dynamic operation is often an integral part of the control objective, ranging from tracking of reference…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-10 Johannes Köhler , Matthas A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

We introduce a general framework for deriving effective dynamics from arbitrary time-dependent generators, based on a systematic operator cumulant expansion. Unlike traditional approaches, which typically assume periodic or adiabatic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Leon Bello , Tal Rubin , Wentao Fan , Nathaniel Fisch , Hakan Türeci

The development of emerging technologies in quantum optics demands accurate models that faithfully capture genuine quantum effects. Mature semiclassical approaches reach their limits when confronted with quantized electromagnetic fields,…

We propose empirical dynamic programming algorithms for Markov decision processes (MDPs). In these algorithms, the exact expectation in the Bellman operator in classical value iteration is replaced by an empirical estimate to get `empirical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-26 William B. Haskell , Rahul Jain , Dileep Kalathil

Online learning algorithms are designed to perform in non-stationary environments, but generally there is no notion of a dynamic state to model constraints on current and future actions as a function of past actions. State-based models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-01 Peng Guan , Maxim Raginsky , Rebecca Willett

In this paper, we introduce a suite of models for price-aware automated market making platforms willing to optimize their quotes. These models incorporate advanced price dynamics, including stochastic volatility, jumps, and microstructural…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Philippe Bergault , Louis Bertucci , David Bouba , Olivier Guéant , Julien Guilbert

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

The Koopman operator has emerged as a powerful tool for the analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems as it provides coordinate transformations to globally linearize the dynamics. While recent deep learning approaches have been useful in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Shaowu Pan , Karthik Duraisamy

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

A mathematical framework for modelling constrained mixed-variable optimization problems is presented in a blackbox optimization context. The framework introduces a new notation and allows solution strategies. The notation framework allows…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Charles Audet , Edward Hallé-Hannan , Sébastien Le Digabel

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

We extend the work on optimal investment and consumption of a population considered in [2] to a general stochastic setting over a finite time horizon. We incorporate the Cobb-Douglas production function in the capital dynamics while the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Hao Liu , Suresh P. Sethi , Tak Kwong Wong , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

Markov processes on the lattices with arbitrary dimension are omnipresent in statistical mechanics; however their algebraic description is complete only in dimension 1, for which linear algebra provides many tools complementary to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Damien Simon

Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-20 John Mern , Peter Morales , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , James Robert Lloyd , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Stochastic differential games are considered in a non-Markovian setting. Typically, in stochastic differential games the modulating process of the diffusion equation describing the state flow is taken to be Markovian. Then Nash equilibria…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

The standard Black-Scholes theory of option pricing is extended to cope with underlying return fluctuations described by general probability distributions. A Langevin process and its related Fokker-Planck equation are devised to model the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Moriconi