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Related papers: Optimal properties of some Bayesian inferences

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We connect the power of Confidence Intervals in different Frequentist methods to their reliability. We show that in the case of a bounded parameter a biased method which near the boundary has large power in testing the parameter against…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

Bayesian parameter inference depends on a choice of prior probability distribution for the parameters in question. The prior which makes the posterior distribution maximally sensitive to data is called the Jeffreys prior, and it is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-25 Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Bayesian variable selection has gained much empirical success recently in a variety of applications when the number $K$ of explanatory variables $(x_1,...,x_K)$ is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. For generalized linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Wenxin Jiang

Real-world optimization problems often involve complex objective functions with costly evaluations. While Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian processes is effective for these challenges, it suffers in high-dimensional spaces due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Nobuo Namura , Sho Takemori

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Selective regression allows abstention from prediction if the confidence to make an accurate prediction is not sufficient. In general, by allowing a reject option, one expects the performance of a regression model to increase at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Abhin Shah , Yuheng Bu , Joshua Ka-Wing Lee , Subhro Das , Rameswar Panda , Prasanna Sattigeri , Gregory W. Wornell

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

We present asymptotic results for the regression-adjusted version of approximate Bayesian computation introduced by Beaumont(2002). We show that for an appropriate choice of the bandwidth, regression adjustment will lead to a posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

Estimation of extreme quantile regions, spaces in which future extreme events can occur with a given low probability, even beyond the range of the observed data, is an important task in the analysis of extremes. Existing methods to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-28 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Scott A. Sisson

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

Bayesian optimization has attracted huge attention from diverse research areas in science and engineering, since it is capable of efficiently finding a global optimum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. In general, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Jungtaek Kim

We build a Bayesian contextual classification model using an optimistic score ratio for robust binary classification when there is limited information on the class-conditional, or contextual, distribution. The optimistic score searches for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Viet Anh Nguyen , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet

This paper analyzes hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems using techniques from high-dimensional statistics. Our analysis leverages a property of hierarchical Bayesian regularizers that we call approximate decomposability to obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Visual affordances identify regions in an image with potential interactions, offering a novel paradigm for scene understanding. Recognizing affordances allows autonomous robots to act more naturally, could enhance human-robot interactions,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Lorenzo Mur-Labadia , Ruben Martinez-Cantina , Jose J. Guerrero

We investigate the frequentist coverage of Bayesian credible sets in a nonparametric setting. We consider a scale of priors of varying regularity and choose the regularity by an empirical Bayes method. Next we consider a central set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Botond Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Robustness and generalization ability of machine learning models are of utmost importance in various application domains. There is a wide interest in efficient ways to analyze those properties. One important direction is to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Khoat Than , Dat Phan , Giang Vu
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