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Modeling non-Markovian time series is a recent topic of research in many fields such as climate modeling, biophysics, molecular dynamics, or finance. The generalized Langevin equation (GLE), given naturally by the Mori-Zwanzig projection…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-25 Clemens Willers , Oliver Kamps

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Connor Holmes , Sven Lilge , Zi Cong Guo , Frank Dellaert , Timothy D. Barfoot

In this paper, we consider the problem of quantifying controllability and observability of a nonlinear discrete time dynamical system. We introduce the Koopman operator as a canonical representation of the system and apply a lifting…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-27 Enoch Yeung , Zhiyuan Liu , Nathan O. Hodas

In the data analysis of oscillatory systems, methods based on phase reconstruction are widely used to characterize phase-locking properties and inferring the phase dynamics. The main component in these studies is an extraction of the phase…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-22 Erik Gengel , Arkady Pikovsky

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

A method for time-reversible numerical integration of the deterministic Landau-Lifshitz Gilbert equation by means of a second order Suzuki-Trotter decomposition is presented and tested against commonly used second order predictor-corrector…

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

The goal of this paper is to provide exact and terminating algorithms for the formal analysis of deterministic continuous-time control systems with affine input and polynomial state dynamics (in short, polynomial systems). We consider the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Lorenzo Clemente

We present an acceleration method for sequences of large-scale linear systems, such as the ones arising from the numerical solution of time-dependent partial differential equations coupled with algebraic constraints. We discuss different…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Margherita Guido , Daniel Kressner , Paolo Ricci

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

The ever-increasing deployment of distributed resources and the opportunities offered to loads for more active roles has changed the previously unidirectional and relatively straight-forward operating profile of distribution systems (DS).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-07 Panayiotis Moutis , Omid Alizadeh-Mousavi

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

We consider state-based systems modelled as coalgebras whose type incorporates branching, and show that by suitably adapting the definition of coalgebraic bisimulation, one obtains a general and uniform account of the linear-time behaviour…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Corina Cirstea

Building on the phase reduction theory formulated for reaction-diffusion systems with spatial translational symmetry, we develop a data-driven method that reconstructs the spatiotemporal phase dynamics of traveling and oscillating patterns.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-04-28 Takahiro Arai , Toshio Aoyagi , Yoji Kawamura

In this article, a posteriori error analysis is developed for mixed finite element Galerkin approximations to a second order linear hyperbolic equation. Based on mixed elliptic reconstructions and an integration tool, which is a variation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Samir Karaa , Amiya K. Pani

This paper proposes a resilient state estimator for LTI discrete-time systems. The dynamic equation of the system is assumed to be affected by a bounded process noise. As to the available measurements, they are potentially corrupted by a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Alexandre Kircher , Laurent Bako , Eric Blanco , Mohamed Benallouch

We derive sufficient conditions for the solvability of the state estimation problem for a class of nonlinear control time-varying systems which includes those, whose dynamics have triangular structure. The state estimation is exhibited by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-07 John Tsinias , Constantinos Kitsos

This work explores displaced fermionic Gaussian operators with nonzero linear terms. We first demonstrate equivalence between several characterizations of displaced Gaussian states. We also provide an efficient classical simulation protocol…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-28 Xingjian Lyu , Kaifeng Bu