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We show that time-correlation functions of arbitrary order for any random variable in a statistical dynamical system can be calculated as higher-order response functions of the mean history of the variable. The response is to a ``control…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Gregory L. Eyink

Fluctuations in the return time statistics of a dynamical system can be described by a new spectrum of dimensions. Comparison with the usual multifractal analysis of measures is presented, and difference between the two corresponding sets…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Hadyn , J. Luevano , G. Mantica , S. Vaienti

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-21 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal

The Extremal Index is a parameter that measures the intensity of clustering of rare events and is usually equal to the reciprocal of the mean of the limiting cluster size distribution. We show how to build dynamically generated stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Miguel Abadi , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas

We present a study of the intermittent properties of a shell model of turbulence with unprecedented statistics, about $\sim 10^7$ eddy turn over time, achieved thanks to an implementation on a large-scale parallel GPU factory. This allows…

We study the statistical properties of return intervals $r$ between successive energy dissipation rates above a certain threshold $Q$ in three-dimensional fully developed turbulence. We find that the distribution function $P_Q(r)$ scales…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-07 Chuang Liu , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Fei Ren , Wei-Xing Zhou

We consider renewal processes where events, which can for instance be the zero crossings of a stochastic process, occur at random epochs of time. The intervals of time between events, $\tau_{1},\tau_{2},...$, are independent and identically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-20 Claude Godreche , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

Fluctuations of observables as functions of time, or "fluctuation patterns", are studied in a chaotic microscopically reversible system that has irreversibly reached a nonequilibrium stationary state. Supposing that during a certain, long…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-10-08 G. Gallavotti

Fractal time series has been shown to be self-affine and are characterized by a roughness exponent H. The exponent H is a measure of the persistence of the fluctuations associated with the time series. We use a recently introduced method…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. R. Sanchez , C. M. Arizmendi

On the occasion of Laurens de Haan's 70th birthday, we discuss two aspects of the statistical inference on the extreme value behavior of time series with a particular emphasis on his important contributions. First, the performance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-01 Holger Drees

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

The correlation properties of the nonaffine elastic response in strongly disordered materials are investigated using the theory of correlated random matrices and supported by numerical models. While the nonaffine displacement field itself…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-04-09 D. A. Conyuh , D. V. Babin , I. O. Raikov , Y. M. Beltukov

We introduce the extremal range, a local statistic for studying the spatial extent of extreme events in random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Conditioned on exceedance of a high threshold at a location $s$, the extremal range at $s$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

Thermal or finite-size scaling analyses of importance sampling Monte Carlo time series in the vicinity of phase transition points often combine different estimates for the same quantity, such as a critical exponent, with the intent to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-08 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

We are interested in investigating the statistical properties of extreme values for strongly correlated variables. The starting motivation is to understand how the strong-correlation properties of power-law distributed processes affect the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-21 Salvatore Miccichè

We investigate extreme value theory of a class of random sequences defined by the all-time suprema of aggregated self-similar Gaussian processes with trend. This study is motivated by its potential applications in various areas and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

We study fluctuations in diffusion-limited reaction systems driven out of their stationary state. Using a numerically exact method, we investigate fluctuation ratios in various systems which differ by their level of violation of microscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sven Dorosz , Michel Pleimling