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We consider systems of two specific piecewise linear homeomorphisms of the unit interval, so called the Alsed\`a-Misiurewicz systems, and investigate the basic properties of Markov chains which arise when these two transformations are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Klaudiusz Czudek

Phylogenetic trees constitute an interesting class of objects for stochastic processes due to the non-standard nature of the space they inhabit. In particular, many statistical applications require the construction of Markov processes on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Rodrigo B. Alves , Yuri F. Saporito , Luiz M. Carvalho

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

In this paper an original interacting particle system approach is developed for studying Markov chains in rare event regimes. The proposed particle system is theoretically studied through a genealogical tree interpretation of Feynman--Kac…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Del Moral , Josselin Garnier

We describe a simple method of umbrella trajectory sampling for Markov chains. The method allows the estimation of large-deviation rate functions, for path-extensive dynamic observables, for an arbitrary number of models within a certain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Stephen Whitelam

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

We establish limit theorems that describe the asymptotic local and global geometric behaviour of random enriched trees considered up to symmetry. We apply these general results to random unlabelled weighted rooted graphs and uniform random…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Benedikt Stufler

We equip the polytope of $n\times n$ Markov matrices with the normalized trace of the Lebesgue measure of $\mathbb{R}^{n^2}$. This probability space provides random Markov matrices, with i.i.d. rows following the Dirichlet distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Djalil Chafai

For different reversible Markov kernels on finite state spaces, we look for families of probability measures for which the time evolution almost remains in their convex hull. Motivated by signal processing problems and metastability studies…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Luca Avena , Fabienne Castell , Alexandre Gaudillière , Clothilde Melot

We study tree lengths in $\Lambda$-coalescents without a dust component from a sample of $n$ individuals. For the total length of all branches and the total length of all external branches we present laws of large numbers in full…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Christina S. Diehl , Götz Kersting

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

We study the nature of fluctuations in variety of price indices involving companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The fluctuations at multiple scales are extracted through the use of wavelets belonging to Daubechies basis. The fact…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Sayantan Ghosh , Arjun Banerjee , Jainendra Bahadur , P. Manimaran

In this paper, we study consistent and partially exchangeable sequences of Markov chains on a finite state space. We provide a characterisation of the admissible transition rates via a decomposition into individual and coordinated motion of…

We study $I(T)$, the number of inversions in a tree $T$ with its vertices labeled uniformly at random, which is a generalization of inversions in permutations. We first show that the cumulants of $I(T)$ have explicit formulas involving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Xing Shi Cai , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson , Tony Johansson , Fiona Skerman

We analyze spectral properties of a quantum graph in the form of a ring chain with a $\delta$ coupling in the vertices exposed to a homogeneous magnetic field perpendicular to the graph plane. We find the band spectrum in the case when the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-12-10 Pavel Exner , Stepan S. Manko

We study conditional independence relationships for random networks and their interplay with exchangeability. We show that, for finitely exchangeable network models, the empirical subgraph densities are maximum likelihood estimates of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Steffen Lauritzen , Alessandro Rinaldo , Kayvan Sadeghi

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We consider so-called simple families of labelled trees, which contain, e.g., ordered, unordered, binary and cyclic labelled trees as special instances, and study the global and local behaviour of the number of inversions. In particular we…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-01-26 Alois Panholzer , Georg Seitz

In this paper we consider the relation between the spectrum and the number of short cycles in large graphs. Suppose $G_1, G_2, G_3, \ldots$ is a sequence of finite and connected graphs that share a common universal cover $T$ and such that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-08-30 Brice Huang , Mustazee Rahman

We introduce a wavelet-based model of local stationarity. This model enlarges the class of locally stationary wavelet processes and contains processes whose spectral density function may change very suddenly in time. A notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-12 Sébastien Van Bellegem , Rainer von Sachs