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Consider an epidemic model with a constant flux of susceptibles, in a situation where the corresponding deterministic epidemic model has a unique stable endemic equilibrium. For the associated stochastic model, whose law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Etienne Pardoux

We describe a new framework of a sublinear expectation space and the related notions and results of distributions, independence. A new notion of G-distributions is introduced which generalizes our G-normal-distribution in the sense that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-19 Shige Peng

I argue that regularizing terms in standard regression methods not only help against overfitting finite data, but sometimes also yield better causal models in the infinite sample regime. I first consider a multi-dimensional variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Dominik Janzing

The fluctuation theorem characterizes the distribution of the dissipation in nonequilibrium systems and proves that the average dissipation will be positive. For a large system with no external source of fluctuation, fluctuations in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-18 Guillaume Michel , Debra J. Searles

The normal distribution plays a central role in information theory - it is at the same time the best-case signal and worst-case noise distribution, has the greatest representational capacity of any distribution, and offers an equivalence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Daniel Eftekhari , Vardan Papyan

By well known results of probability theory, any sequence of random variables with bounded second moments has a subsequence satisfying the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm in a randomized form. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-28 I. Berkes , R. Tichy

A probability model exhibits instability if small changes in a data outcome result in large, and often unanticipated, changes in probability. This instability is a property of the probability model, given by a distributional form and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Andee Kaplan , Daniel Nordman , Stephen Vardeman

We consider a family of multivariate autoregressive stochastic sequences that restart when hit a neighbourhood of the origin, and study their distributional limits when the autoregressive coefficient tends to one, the noise scaling…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Sergey Foss , Matthias Schulte

The Central Limit Theorem provides a foundation for inferential statistics and hypothesis testing. It describes how standardized statistics behave under repeated sampling from large populations. However, if the size of the sample (n)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mike Crowhurst

A non-classical formulation of the central limit theorem is given for sequences of independent random variables with finite second moments. Singular sequences whose members all have a degenerate or normal distribution are excluded from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Alexander Shmyrov , Vasily Shmyrov

The theory of transient growth describes how linear mechanisms can cause temporary amplification of disturbances even when the linearized system is asymptotically stable as defined by its eigenvalues. This growth is traditionally quantified…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-23 Peter Frame , Aaron Towne

Use is made of rigorous definitions for the terms normal, natural, and harmonic to reveal a number of unfamiliar aspects about them. The Gaussian distribution is not sufficient to determine who is normal, and fluctuations above or below a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-07 Theodore Modis

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We make progress towards an analytical understanding of the regime of validity of perturbation theory for large scale structures and the nature of some non-perturbative corrections. We restrict ourselves to 1D gravitational collapse, for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-17 Enrico Pajer , Drian van der Woude

Any measurement is intended to provide information on a system, namely knowledge about its state. However, we learn from quantum theory that it is generally impossible to extract information without disturbing the state of the system or its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-11-18 Giacomo Mauro D'Ariano , Paolo Perinotti , Alessandro Tosini

Two-sample inference for the difference of population means typically relies upon a Central Limit Theorem approximation. When data are drawn from a Negative Binomial distribution, previous work of Shilane et al. (2010) showed that a Normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-06 David Shilane , Derek Bean

We study conditions under which treatment effect estimators constructed under the no-interference assumption in randomized experiments are asymptotically normal in the presence of interference. We prove that the standard Horvitz-Thompson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Alex Chin

The leading term in the normal approximation to the distribution of Student's t statistic is derived in a general setting, with the sole assumption being that the sampled distribution is in the domain of attraction of a normal law. The form…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Hall , Qiying Wang

The central limit theorem ensures that a sum of random variables tends to a Gaussian distribution as their total number tends to infinity. However, for a class of positive random variables, we find that the sum tends faster to a log-normal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-10-16 H. Mouri

The prevalence of many urban phenomena changes systematically with population size. We propose a theory that unifies models of economic complexity and cultural evolution to derive urban scaling. The theory accounts for the difference in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 Andres Gomez-Lievano , Oscar Patterson-Lomba , Ricardo Hausmann