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Heteroskedasticity is a common feature of financial time series and is commonly addressed in the model building process through the use of ARCH and GARCH processes. More recently multivariate variants of these processes have been in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-18 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horvath , Daniel Pellatt

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

Here we present a theoretical study on the main properties of Fractionally Integrated Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (FIEGARCH) processes. We analyze the conditions for the existence, the invertibility,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Sílvia R. C. Lopes , Taiane S. Prass

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen

This paper is concerned with some properties of the generalized GARCH models, obtained by extending GARCH models with exogenous variables, the so-called GARCH extended (GARCHX) models. For these, we establish sufficient conditions for some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Giles-Arnaud Nzouankeu Nana , Ralf Korn , Christina Erlwein-Sayer

We derive mixing properties for a broad class of Poisson count time series satisfying a certain contraction condition. Using specific coupling techniques, we prove absolute regularity at a geometric rate not only for stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Paul Doukhan , Anne Leucht , Michael H Neumann

We consider integer-valued GARCH processes, where the count variable conditioned on past values of the count and state variables follows a so-called Skellam distribution. Using arguments for contractive Markov chains we prove that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Paul Doukhan , Naushad Mamode Khan , Michael H. Neumann

Generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) processes are widely used for modelling features commonly found in observed financial returns. The extremal properties of these processes are of considerable interest for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-20 Fabrizio Laurini , Paul Fearnhead , Jonathan A. Tawn

Switching ARMA models greatly enhance the standard linear models to the extent that different ARMA model is allowed in a different regime, and the regime switching is typically assumed a Markov chain on the finite states of potential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gopal K. Basak , Zhan-Qian Lu

We develop a uniform test for detecting and dating explosive behavior of a strictly stationary GARCH$(r,s)$ (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) process. Namely, we test the null hypothesis of a globally stable GARCH…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-11 Stefan Richter , Weining Wang , Wei Biao Wu

There exist very few results on mixing for non-stationary processes. However, mixing is often required in statistical inference for non-stationary processes such as time-varying ARCH (tvARCH) models. In this paper, bounds for the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Piotr Fryzlewicz , Suhasini Subba Rao

A class of nonlinear ARCH processes is introduced and studied. The existence of a strictly stationary and $\beta$-mixing solution is established under a mild assumption on the density of the underlying independent process. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Youssef Sa\"{ı}di , Jean-Michel Zako\"{ı}an

Multivariate $\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1)$ processes are introduced as a continuous-time models for multidimensional heteroskedastic observations. Our model is driven by a single multivariate L\'{e}vy process and the latent time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Robert Stelzer

In this manuscript, we analytically and numerically study statistical properties of an heteroskedastic process based on the celebrated ARCH generator of random variables whose variance is defined by a memory of $q_{m}$-exponencial, form…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-01-23 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Conditions for the existence of strictly stationary multivariate GARCH processes in the so-called BEKK parametrisation, which is the most general form of multivariate GARCH processes typically used in applications, and for their geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Farid Boussama , Florian Fuchs , Robert Stelzer

Conditions for geometric ergodicity of multivariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) processes, with the so-called BEKK (Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner) parametrization, are considered. We show for a class of BEKK-ARCH…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Rasmus Pedersen , Olivier Wintenberger

We investigate the properties of a continuous time GARCH process as the solution to a L\'evy driven stochastic functional integral equation. This process occurs as a weak limit of a sequence of discrete time GARCH processes as the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Adam Nie

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

In order to calculate the unobserved volatility in conditional heteroscedastic time series models, the natural recursive approximation is very often used. Following \cite{StraumannMikosch2006}, we will call the model \emph{invertible} if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Alexey Sorokin

In this paper, we consider subgeometric (specifically, polynomial) ergodicity of univariate nonlinear autoregressions with autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH). The notion of subgeometric ergodicity was introduced in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-15 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen
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