Related papers: Order 1 autoregressive process of finite length
Autoregressive models are a class of generative model that probabilistically predict the next output of a sequence based on previous inputs. The autoregressive sequence is by definition one-dimensional (1D), which is natural for language…
First Passage (FP) processes are utilized widely to model phenomena in many areas of mathematical applications, from biology to computer science. Introducing a mechanism to restart the parent process can alter the first passage…
Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…
We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…
We introduce a new restarting scheme for a continuous inertial dynamics with Hessian driven-damping, and establish a linear convergence rate for the function values along the restarted trajectories. The proposed routine is implemented…
It was recently proved that any strictly stationary stochastic process can be viewed as an autoregressive process of order one with coloured noise. Furthermore, it was proved that, using this characterisation, one can define closed form…
When a spatial process is recorded over time and the observation at a given time instant is viewed as a point in a function space, the result is a time series taking values in a Banach space. To study the spatio-temporal extremal dynamics…
We uncover a duality between relaxation and first passage processes in ergodic reversible Markovian dynamics in both discrete and continuous state-space. The duality exists in the form of a spectral interlacing -- the respective time scales…
First-passage times provide invaluable insight into fundamental properties of stochastic processes. Yet, various forms of gating mask first-passage times and differentiate them from actual detection times. For instance, imperfect conditions…
The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…
An extension and generalization of a recently presented approach for the analysis of Langevin-type stochastic processes in the presence of strong measurement noise is presented. For a stochastic process in N dimensions which is superimposed…
Numerical observations on a Markov chain and on the continuous Markov process performed by a granular tracer show that the ``usual'' fluctuation relation for a given observable is not verified for finite (but arbitrarily large) times. This…
We extend classical results about the convergence of nearly unstable AR(p) processes to the infinite order case. To do so, we proceed as in recent works about Hawkes processes by using limit theorems for some well chosen geometric sums. We…
This paper considers the class of L\'evy processes that can be written as a Brownian motion time changed by an independent L\'evy subordinator. Examples in this class include the variance gamma model, the normal inverse Gaussian model, and…
Making use of a Rice-like series expansion, for a class of stationary Gaussian processes the asymptotic behavior of the first passage time probability density function through certain time-varying boundaries, including periodic boundaries,…
We consider the setting where a collection of time series, modeled as random processes, evolve in a causal manner, and one is interested in learning the graph governing the relationships of these processes. A special case of wide interest…
Many studies on biological and soft matter systems report the joint presence of a linear mean-squared displacement and a non-Gaussian probability density exhibiting, for instance, exponential or stretched-Gaussian tails. This phenomenon is…
A general theory is derived for the moments of the first passage time of a one-dimensional Markov process in presence of a weak time-dependent forcing. The linear corrections to the moments can be expressed by quadratures of the potential…
Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…
Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random…