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Variational data assimilation and deep learning share many algorithmic aspects in common. While the former focuses on system state estimation, the latter provides great inductive biases to learn complex relationships. We here design a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Arthur Filoche , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

Forecasting ocean drift trajectories are important for many applications, including search and rescue operations, oil spill cleanup and iceberg risk mitigation. In an operational setting, forecasts of drift trajectories are produced based…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-26 Håvard Heitlo Holm , Martin Lilleeng Sætra , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

A comparison is carried out between two operational wave forecasting/assimilation models for the North Sea, with the emphasis on the assimilation schemes. One model is the WAM model, in combination with an optimal interpolation method…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 A. C. Voorrips , C. de Valk

Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Data assimilation has become a key technique for combining physical models with observational data to estimate state variables. However, classical assimilation algorithms often struggle with the high nonlinearity present in both physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuoyuan Li , Bin Dong , Pingwen Zhang

We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

Shallow water equations are extensively considered in the domains of oceans, atmospheric modelling, and engineering research (Franca et al., 2022), which play significant roles in floods and tsunami governance. Nonetheless, the accurate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-22 Ruijia Yu

An important class of nonlinear weighted least-squares problems arises from the assimilation of observations in atmospheric and ocean models. In variational data assimilation, inverse error covariance matrices define the weighting matrices…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Olivier Goux , Selime Gürol , Anthony T. Weaver , Oliver Guillet , Youssef Diouane

Variational Data Assimilation (DA) has been broadly used in engineering problems for field reconstruction and prediction by performing a weighted combination of multiple sources of noisy data. In recent years, the integration of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Sibo Cheng , Che Liu , Yike Guo , Rossella Arcucci

This work studies reduced order modeling (ROM) approaches to speed up the solution of variational data assimilation problems with large scale nonlinear dynamical models. It is shown that a key requirement for a successful reduced order…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Răzvan Ştefănescu , Adrian Sandu , Ionel Michael Navon

We propose two new methods based/inspired by machine learning for tabular data and distance-free localization to enhance the covariance estimations in an ensemble data assimilation. The main goal is to enhance the data assimilation results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Vinicius L. S. Silva , Gabriel S. Seabra , Alexandre A. Emerick

Along with the exponential growth of online platforms and services, recommendation systems have become essential for identifying relevant items based on user preferences. The domain of sequential recommendation aims to capture evolving user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Jung Hyun Ryu , Jaeheyoung Jeon , Jewoong Cho , Myungjoo Kang 1

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) has emerged as an important methodology, widely used in numerical weather prediction, oceanographic modeling, and climate forecasting. Classical unconstrained gradient-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bowen Li , Bin Shi

Accurate estimation of thermospheric mass density is a prerequisite for orbit prediction and space situational awareness, where the upper atmosphere responds nonlinearly to solar and geomagnetic forcing across several orders of magnitude.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Sriram Narayanan , Daniele Sicoli , Piyush Mehta

Data Assimilation (DA) is a methodology for combining mathematical models simulating complex systems (the background knowledge) and measurements (the reality or observational data) in order to improve the estimate of the system state. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Luisa D'Amore , Rosalba Cacciapuoti

This paper presents a practical computational approach to quantify the effect of individual observations in estimating the state of a system. Such an analysis can be used for pruning redundant measurements, and for designing future sensor…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-07-22 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu , Eric de Sturler

This work introduces a new class of four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) methods grounded in data-consistent inversion (DCI) theory. The methods extend classical 4D-Var by incorporating a predictability-aware…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

Variational data assimilation is a technique for combining measured data with dynamical models. It is a key component of Earth system state estimation and is commonly used in weather and ocean forecasting. The approach involves a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 I. Daužickaitė , M. A. Freitag , S. Gürol , A. S. Lawless , A. Ramage , J. A. Scott , J. M. Tabeart

Quantitative evaluations of differences and/or similarities between data samples define and shape optimisation problems associated with learning data distributions. Current methods to compare data often suffer from limitations in capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Deborah Pelacani Cruz , George Strong , Oscar Bates , Carlos Cueto , Jiashun Yao , Lluis Guasch

We develop innovative algorithms for solving the strong-constraint formulation of four-dimensional variational data assimilation in large-scale applications. We present a space-time decomposition approach that employs domain decomposition…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Luisa D'Amore. Emil Constantinescu , Luisa Carracciuolo