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In this paper, we consider the estimation and inference of precision matrices of a rich class of locally stationary and nonlinear time series assuming that only one realization of the time series is observed. Using a Cholesky decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

In many random search processes of interest in chemistry, biology or during rescue operations, an entity must find a specific target site before the latter becomes inactive, no longer available for reaction or lost. We present exact results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-16 Denis Boyer , Gabriel Mercado-Vásquez , Satya N. Majumdar , Grégory Schehr

Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

We derive a criterium for the almost sure finiteness of perpetual integrals of \LL processes for a class of real functions including all continuous functions and for general one-dimensional L\'evy processes that drifts to plus infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Martin Kolb , Mladen Savov

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

Using complex analysis techniques we obtain precise asymptotic approximations for the kernels corresponding to the symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes and their fractional derivatives. We apply our method to general L\'evy processes whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-06 Sihun Jo , Minsuk Yang

This article investigates the least squares estimators (LSE) for the unknown parameters in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) that are affected by L\'evy noise, particularly when the sample paths are sparse. Specifically, given $n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Brijesh Kumar Jha , Subhra Sankar Dhar , Akash Ashirbad Panda

By using absolutely continuous lower bounds of the L\'evy measure, explicit gradient estimates are derived for the semigroup of the corresponding L\'evy process with a linear drift. A derivative formula is presented for the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Feng-Yu Wang

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We consider the problem of discrete-time signal denoising, focusing on a specific family of non-linear convolution-type estimators. Each such estimator is associated with a time-invariant filter which is obtained adaptively, by solving a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Zaid Harchaoui

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

In this paper, we consider a nonlinear filtering model with observations driven by correlated Wiener processes and point processes. We first derive a Zakai equation whose solution is a unnormalized probability density function of the filter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Fengshan Zhang , Yongkui Zou , Shimin Chai , Yanzhao Cao

Estimates of densities of convolution semigroups of probability measures are given under specific assumptions on the corresponding L\'evy measure and the L\'evy--Khinchin exponent. The assumptions are satisfied, e.g., by tempered stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-02 Paweł Sztonyk

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial mathematics to model return data. Price processes are then defined as a corresponding geometric L\'evy process, implying the fact that returns are independent. In this paper we propose an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-22 L. Gerencsér , M. Mánfay

We present a relatively simple and mostly elementary proof of the L\'evy--Khintchine formula for subordinators. The main idea is to study the Poisson process time-changed by the subordinator. The technical tools used are conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Yuri Yakubovich

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

We revisit an absolutely-continuous version of the stochastic control problem driven by a L\'evy process. A strategy must be absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure and the running cost function is assumed to be convex.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-17 Kei Noba , José Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki