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Unfortunately, working scientists sometimes reflexively continue to use "buzz phrases" grounded in once prevalent paradigms that have been subsequently refuted. This can impede both earthquake research and hazard mitigation. Well-worn…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-07-23 Yan. Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson , Robert J. Geller

Many systems in nature are conjectured to exist at a critical point, including the brain and earthquake faults. The primary reason for this conjecture is that the distribution of clusters (avalanches of firing neurons in the brain or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-22 W. Klein , Harvey Gould , Sakib Matin

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

This paper focuses on the problem of anticipating the local occurrence of future large earthquakes. "Local" is defined as the probability of a large earthquake occurring with a defined circle of arbitrary radius surrounding a point of…

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

The statistical property of the calm times, i.e., time intervals between successive earthquakes with arbitrary values of magnitude, is studied by analyzing the seismic time series data in California and Japan. It is found that the calm…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Earthquakes are a major threat to nations worldwide. Earthquake detection is an important scientific challenge, not only for its social impacts, but also since it reflects the actual degree of understanding of the physical processes…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-05 Yosef Ashkenazy , Ittai Kurzon , Eitan Asher

It has been shown [Phys. Rev. E 84, 022101 (2011); Chaos 22, 023123 (2012)] that earthquakes of magnitude $M$ greater or equal to 7 are globally correlated. Such correlations were identified by studying the variance $\kappa_1$ of natural…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-21 N. V. Sarlis , S. -R. G. Christopoulos , E. S. Skordas

Mega et al.(cond-mat/0212529) proposed to use the ``diffusion entropy'' (DE) method to demonstrate that the distribution of time intervals between a large earthquake (the mainshock of a given seismic sequence) and the next one does not obey…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

The phenomenon of aftershocks is studied in view of science of complexity. In particular, three different concepts are examined: (i) the complex-network representation of seismicity, (ii) the event-event correlations, and (iii) the effects…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

A measure of the correlation between two earthquakes is used to link events to their aftershocks, generating a growing network structure. In this framework one can quantify whether an aftershock is close or far, from main shocks of all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Marco Baiesi

The subsequent series of responses to big events may exhibit a synchronicity of event number, frequency and energy release in different fault zones. This synchronicity is a reliable source for probing non-intuitive geological structures,…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-11-17 Zili Zhou , Huai Zhang , Huihong Cheng , Chunlin Deng , Yaolin Shi , Shi Chen , Xiwu Luan , David A. Yuen

We propose a simple theory for the ``universal'' scaling law previously reported for the distributions of waiting times between earthquakes. It is based on a largely used benchmark model of seismicity, which just assumes no difference in…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background earthquakes that cascade into multitudes of triggered…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Spatio-temporal correlations of earthquakes are studied numerically on the basis of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model. As large events approach, the frequency of smaller events gradually increases, while, just before…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Takahiro Mori , Hikaru Kawamura

Simple models for ruptures along a heterogeneous earthquake fault zone are studied, focussing on the interplay between the roles of disorder and dynamical effects. A class of models are found to operate naturally at a critical point whose…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 Daniel S. Fisher , Karin Dahmen , Sharad Ramanathan , Yehuda Ben-Zion

The role of the moon in triggering earthquakes has been studied since the early 1900s. Theory states that as land tides swept by the moon cross fault lines, stress in the Earth's plates intensifies, increasing the likelihood of small…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-10-10 Lyndie Chiou

I study a recently proposed statistical model of earthquake dynamics that incorporates aging as a fundamental ingredient. The model is known to generate earthquake sequences that quantitatively reproduce the spatial and temporal clustering…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 E. A. Jagla

Earthquakes are rupture-like processes that propagate along tectonic faults and cause seismic waves. The propagation speed and final area of the rupture, which determine an earthquake's potential impact, are directly related to the nature…