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Related papers: Local mixture models of exponential families

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We consider on-line density estimation with a parameterized density from the exponential family. The on-line algorithm receives one example at a time and maintains a parameter that is essentially an average of the past examples. After…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Katy S. Azoury , Manfred K. Warmuth

Asymptotics of the normalizing constant is computed for a class of one parameter exponential families on permutations which includes Mallows model with Spearmans's Footrule and Spearman's Rank Correlation Statistic. The MLE, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Sumit Mukherjee

This paper has been withdrawn. With the advancement of statistical theory and computing power, data sets are providing a greater amount of insight into the problems of today. Statisticians have an ever increasing number of tools to attack…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-20 Derek S. Young

We study exponential families of distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order 2 (MTP2), show that these are convex exponential families, and derive conditions for existence of the MLE. Quadratic exponential familes of MTP2…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

Given a reference model that includes all the available variables, projection predictive inference replaces its posterior with a constrained projection including only a subset of all variables. We extend projection predictive inference to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-13 Alejandro Catalina , Paul Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

While probability theory is normally applied to external environments, there has been some recent interest in probabilistic modeling of the outputs of computations that are too expensive to run. Since mathematical logic is a powerful tool…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Scott Garrabrant , Benya Fallenstein , Abram Demski , Nate Soares

Optimising probabilistic models is a well-studied field in statistics. However, its connection with the training of generative models remains largely under-explored. In this paper, we show that the evolution of time-varying generative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Song Liu , Leyang Wang , Yakun Wang

Implicit probabilistic models are a flexible class of models defined by a simulation process for data. They form the basis for theories which encompass our understanding of the physical world. Despite this fundamental nature, the use of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Michael Arbel , Arthur Gretton

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

Variational Inference is a powerful tool in the Bayesian modeling toolkit, however, its effectiveness is determined by the expressivity of the utilized variational distributions in terms of their ability to match the true posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Artem Sobolev , Dmitry Vetrov

This paper considers a family of distributions constructed by a stochastic mixture of the order statistics of a sample of size two. Various properties of the proposed model are studied. We apply the model to extend the exponential and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-10 S. M. Mirhoseini , A. Dolati , M. Amini

The large-sample properties of likelihood-based statistical inference under mixture models have received much attention from statisticians. Although the consistency of the nonparametric MLE is regarded as a standard conclusion, many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Jiahua Chen

Complex machine learning algorithms are used more and more often in critical tasks involving text data, leading to the development of interpretability methods. Among local methods, two families have emerged: those computing importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Gianluigi Lopardo , Damien Garreau

Compartmental epidemic models have been widely used for predicting the course of epidemics, from estimating the basic reproduction number to guiding intervention policies. Studies commonly acknowledge these models' assumptions but less…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-23 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Pratyush K. Kollepara , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Empirical Bayes methods offer valuable tools for a large class of compound decision problems. In this tutorial we describe some basic principles of the empirical Bayes paradigm stressing their frequentist interpretation. Emphasis is placed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Roger Koenker , Jiaying Gu

We present an abstract framework for asymptotic analysis of convergence based on the notions of eventual families of sets that we define. A family of subsets of a given set is called here an "eventual family" if it is upper hereditary with…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Yair Censor , Eliahu Levy

We extend the theory of local constants to l-adic families of representations of GL_n(F) where F is a p-adic field with l not equal to p. We construct zeta integrals and gamma factors for representations coming from the conjectural "local…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-24 Gilbert Moss

Learning of continuous exponential family distributions with unbounded support remains an important area of research for both theory and applications in high-dimensional statistics. In recent years, score matching has become a widely used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Devin Smedira , Abhijith Jayakumar , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Mathematical psychology has a long tradition of modeling probabilistic choice via distribution-free random utility models and associated random preference models. For such models, the predicted choice probabilities often form a bounded and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Clintin P. Davis-Stober , Jean-Paul Doignon , Samuel Fiorini , François Glineur , Michel Regenwetter
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