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Related papers: A wildland fire model with data assimilation

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We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Brianna Binder , Agnimitra Dasgupta , Assad Oberai

Few researches have studied simultaneous detection of smoke and flame accompanying fires due to their different physical natures that lead to uncertain fluid patterns. In this study, we collect a large image data set to re-label them as a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Hang Zhang , Su Yang , Hongyong Wang , zhongyan lu , helin sun

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

A Kalman filter based sequential estimator is presented in the present work. The estimator is integrated in the structure of segregated solvers for the analysis of incompressible flows. This technique provides an augmented flow state…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-22 Marcello Meldi , Alexandre Poux

A new premixed turbulent combustion model is proposed. It is based on one-dimensional (1D) filtering of density times progress variable and of the reaction source term of laminar premixed flame profiles using a filter kernel which reflects…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-21 Michael Pfitzner , Junsu Shin , Markus Klein

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

In recent years, advances in computational power and spatial data analysis (GIS, remote sensing, etc) have led to an increase in attempts to model the spread and behvaiour of wildland fires across the landscape. This series of review papers…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-07-28 A. L. Sullivan

This research project investigated the correlation between a 10 Hz time series of thermocouple temperatures and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) computed from wind speeds collected from a small experimental prescribed burn at the Silas Little…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Dipak Dulal , Joseph J. Charney , Michael Gallagher , Carmeliza Navasca , Nicholas Skowronski

We consider a bushfire model in a gully. The biological scenario under consideration involves flammable fuel (trees, leaves, etc.) concentrated within the gully, surrounded by rocky hillslopes containing little or no burnable material. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Lorenzo De Gaspari , Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci

In this paper, we assess and develop a climate service focused on the production of seasonal predictions for summer wildfires in a Mediterranean region through a participatory approach with end-users. We start by building a data-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-06 Marco Turco , Raul Marcos-Matamoros , Xavier Castro , Esteve Canyameras , Maria Carmen Llasat

Analyzing the validity and success of a data assimilation algorithm when some state variable observations are not available is an important problem in meteorology and engineering. We present an improved data assimilation algorithm for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Aseel Farhat , Evelyn Lunasin , Edriss S. Titi

Marine biogeochemistry models are critical for forecasting, as well as estimating ecosystem responses to climate change and human activities. Data assimilation (DA) improves these models by aligning them with real-world observations, but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Ieuan Higgs , Ross Bannister , Jozef Skákala , Alberto Carrassi , Stefano Ciavatta

In recent years, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have played an increasingly crucial role in supporting disaster emergency response efforts by analyzing aerial images. While current deep-learning models focus on improving accuracy, they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Lemeng Zhao , Junjie Hu , Jianchao Bi , Yanbing Bai , Erick Mas , Shunichi Koshimura

Over the past decade, the number of wildfire has increased significantly around the world, especially in the State of California. The high-level concentration of greenhouse gas (GHG) emitted by wildfires aggravates global warming that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Sifat Chowdhury , Kai Zhu , Yu Zhang

The ability to forecast grass fire spread could be of a great importance for agencies making decisions about prescribed burns. However, the usefulness of the models used for fire-spread predictions is limited by the time required for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-23 Adam K. Kochanski , S. K. Krueger , M. A. Jenkins , J. Mandel , J. D. Beezley

Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management. In practice, however, complete and timely measurements may not always be available, and the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Ruoyu Hu , Dahai Yu , Feng Bao , Guang Wang , Guannan Zhang

This paper is a contribution in the context of variational data assimilation combined with statistical learning. The framework of data assimilation traditionally uses data collected at sensor locations in order to bring corrections to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Amina Benaceur , Barbara Verfürth

Combustion stabilization and enhancement of the flammability limits are mandatory objectives to improve nowadays combustion chambers. At this purpose, the use of an electric field in the flame region provides a solution which is, at the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-12-13 M. Di Renzo , P. De Palma , M. D. de Tullio , G. Pascazio

There have been many applications of deep neural networks to detector calibrations and a growing number of studies that propose deep generative models as automated fast detector simulators. We show that these two tasks can be unified by…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-14 Haoxing Du , Claudius Krause , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman , Ian Pang , David Shih

Wildfires are among the most severe disturbances affecting forest ecosystems, with over 50,000 hectares burned in Patagonia, Argentina, during 2025 alone. This study implements a Reaction-Diffusion-Convection (RDC) model to simulate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-04 Lucas Becerra , Monica Malen Denham , Alejandro B. Kolton , Karina Laneri