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It is a long-standing objective to ease the computation burden incurred by the decision making process. Identification of this mechanism's sensitivity to simplification has tremendous ramifications. Yet, algorithms for decision making under…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Andrey Zhitnikov , Vadim Indelman

Stochastic network calculus is an evolving theory which accounts for statistical multiplexing and uses an envelope approach for probabilistic delay and backlog analysis of networks. One of the key ideas of stochastic network calculus is the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-09-30 Kishore Angrishi , Ulrich Killat

In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We consider a network design problem with random arc capacities and give a formulation with a probabilistic capacity constraint on each cut of the network. To handle the exponentially-many probabilistic constraints a separation procedure…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Alper Atamturk , Avinash Bhardwaj

The latent stochastic block model is a flexible and widely used statistical model for the analysis of network data. Extensions of this model to a dynamic context often fail to capture the persistence of edges in contiguous network…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-16 Riccardo Rastelli

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

This work considers stochastic operators in general inner-product spaces, and in particular, systems with stochastically time-varying input delays of a known probability distribution. Stochastic dissipativity and stability are defined from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Ethan LoCicero , Amy Strong , Leila Bridgeman

Fluctuations in parameters that are typically treated as fixed play a crucial role in the behavior of complex systems. However, to date, we lack a general non-equilibrium thermodynamic treatment of such a complex system. In this Letter, to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-31 Tuan Pham , Deepak Gupta

This paper presents a Distributed Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm for networks of linear systems with multiplicative uncertainties and local chance constraints on the states and control inputs. The chance constraints are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Recently, the distributed state estimation problem for continuous-time linear systems over jointly connected switching networks was solved. It was shown that the estimation errors will asymptotically converge to the origin by using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Tao Liu , Jie Huang

We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

When an expert operates a perilous dynamic system, ideal constraint information is tacitly contained in their demonstrated trajectories and controls. The likelihood of these demonstrations can be computed, given the system dynamics and task…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-26 David L. McPherson , Kaylene C. Stocking , S. Shankar Sastry

Traditional asymptotic information-theoretic studies of the fundamental limits of wireless communication systems primarily rely on some ideal assumptions, such as infinite blocklength and vanishing error probability. While these assumptions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Junyuan Gao , Shuao Chen , Yongpeng Wu , Liang Liu , Giuseppe Caire , H. Vincent Poor , Wenjun Zhang

We consider the inverse Ising problem, i.e. the inference of network couplings from observed spin trajectories for a model with continuous time Glauber dynamics. By introducing two sets of auxiliary latent random variables we render the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-22 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

The problem of determining asymptotic bounds on the capacity of a random ad hoc network is considered. Previous approaches assumed a threshold-based link layer model in which a packet transmission is successful if the SINR at the receiver…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Vivek P. Mhatre , Catherine P. Rosenberg

The problem of variable-rate lossless data compression is considered, for codes with and without prefix constraints. Sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable compression rate of memoryless sources, when the excess-rate probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Andreas Theocharous , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

We present a probabilistic framework for nonlinearities, based on doubly truncated Gaussian distributions. By setting the truncation points appropriately, we are able to generate various types of nonlinearities within a unified framework,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Qinliang Su , Xuejun Liao , Lawrence Carin

In earlier work (arXiv:1707.04927) the authors obtained formulas for the probability in the asymmetric simple exclusion process that at time $t$ a particle is at site $x$ and is the beginning of a block of $L$ consecutive particles. Here we…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-07-04 Craig A. Tracy , Harold Widom