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The spreading of an epidemic is determined by the connectiviy patterns which underlie the population. While it has been noted that a virus spreads more easily on a network in which global distances are small, it remains a great challenge to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

The epidemic threshold is probably the most studied quantity in the modelling of epidemics on networks. For a large class of networks and dynamics the epidemic threshold is well studied and understood. However, it is less so for clustered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-19 Rosanna C. Barnard , Luc Berthouze , Péter L. Simon , István Z. Kiss

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We study propagation of avalanches in a certain excitable network. The model is a particular case of the one introduced in [23], and is mathematically equivalent to an endemic variation of the Reed-Frost epidemic model introduced in [27].…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Reza Rastegar , Alexander Roitershtein

The design of an efficient curing policy, able to stem an epidemic process at an affordable cost, has to account for the structure of the population contact network supporting the contagious process. Thus, we tackle the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Stefania Ottaviano , Francesco De Pellegrini , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Piet Van Mieghem

We couple a multi-type stochastic epidemic process with a directed random graph, where edges have random lengths. This random graph representation is used to characterise the fractions of individuals infected by the different types of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , Pieter Trapman

This study is concerned with the dynamical behaviors of epidemic spreading over a two-layered interconnected network. Three models in different levels are proposed to describe cooperative spreading processes over the interconnected network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-15 Xiang Wei , Xiaoqun Wu , Shihua Chen , Jun-an Lu , Guanrong Chen

A random graph model with prescribed degree distribution and degree dependent edge weights is introduced. Each vertex is independently equipped with a random number of half-edges and each half-edge is assigned an integer valued weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fredrik Liljeros

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

One of the famous results of network science states that networks with heterogeneous connectivity are more susceptible to epidemic spreading than their more homogeneous counterparts. In particular, in networks of identical nodes it has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-05 Hui Yang , Ming Tang , Thilo Gross

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

We study the Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS) model on arbitrary networks. The well-established pair approximation treats neighboring pairs of nodes exactly while making a mean field approximation for the rest of the network. We…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-05 George Cantwell , Cristopher Moore

In real world, there is a significant relation between human behaviors and epidemic spread. Especially, the reactions among individuals in different communities to epidemics may be different, which lead to cluster synchronization of human…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-10-31 Zhongpu Xu , Kezan Li , Mengfeng Sun , Xinchu Fu

We study by analytical methods and large scale simulations a dynamical model for the spreading of epidemics in complex networks. In networks with exponentially bounded connectivity we recover the usual epidemic behavior with a threshold…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We study some simple models of disease transmission on small-world networks, in which either the probability of infection by a disease or the probability of its transmission is varied, or both. The resulting models display epidemic behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda