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We discuss nonparametric estimators of the distribution of the incubation time of a disease. The classical approach in these models is to use parametric families like Weibull, log-normal or gamma in the estimation procedure. We analyze…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Piet Groeneboom

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a convex hazard function. We show that the MLE is consistent and converges at a local rate of $n^{2/5}$ at points $x_0$ where the true hazard function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou

We present a new approach for inference about a log-concave distribution: Instead of using the method of maximum likelihood, we propose to incorporate the log-concavity constraint in an appropriate nonparametric confidence set for the cdf…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Guenther Walther , Alnur Ali , Xinyue Shen , Stephen Boyd

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

We investigate the optimization landscape of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for the Cavender-Farris-Neyman (CFN) model, a two-state latent tree model fundamental to statistical phylogenetics and the ferromagnetic Ising model. Although…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 David Clancy , Hanbaek Lyu , Sebastien Roch

We propose a new approach to deriving quantitative mean field approximations for any probability measure $P$ on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with density proportional to $e^{f(x)}$, for $f$ strongly concave. We bound the mean field approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Daniel Lacker , Sumit Mukherjee , Lane Chun Yeung

We study the approximation of arbitrary distributions $P$ on $d$-dimensional space by distributions with log-concave density. Approximation means minimizing a Kullback--Leibler-type functional. We show that such an approximation exists if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Dominic Schuhmacher

We show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is an effective tool for mitigating non-flow effects in flow analysis. To this end, one constructs two toy models that simulate non-flow contributions corresponding to particle decay and…

For some discretely observed path of oscillating Brownian motion with level of self-organized criticality $\rho_0$, we prove in the infill asymptotics that the MLE is $n$-consistent, where $n$ denotes the sample size, and derive its limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Johannes Brutsche , Angelika Rohde

In this paper, we study the log-likelihood function and Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) for the matrix normal model for both real and complex models. We describe the exact number of samples needed to achieve (almost surely) three…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Harm Derksen , Visu Makam

We study limit distributions for the tuning-free max-min block estimator originally proposed in [FLN17] in the problem of multiple isotonic regression, under both fixed lattice design and random design settings. We show that, if the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Qiyang Han , Cun-Hui Zhang

Asymptotic efficiency of targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLE) of target features of the data distribution relies on a a second order remainder being asymptotically negligible. In previous work we proposed a nonparametric MLE termed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Mark van der Laan , Zeyi Wang , Lars van der Laan

According to standard econometric theory, Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE) is the efficient estimation choice, however, it is not always a feasible one. In network diffusion models with unobserved signal propagation, MLE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 L. S. Sanna Stephan

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

Bounds on the log partition function are important in a variety of contexts, including approximate inference, model fitting, decision theory, and large deviations analysis. We introduce a new class of upper bounds on the log partition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Martin Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan Willsky

We study and develop multilevel methods for the numerical approximation of a log-concave probability $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, based on (over-damped) Langevin diffusion. In the continuity of \cite{art:egeapanloup2021multilevel} concentrated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Maxime Egéa

We develop the notion of discrete degrees of freedom of a log-concave sequence and use it to prove that geometric distribution minimises R\'enyi entropy of order infinity under fixed variance, among all discrete log-concave random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Jacek Jakimiuk , Daniel Murawski , Piotr Nayar , Semen Słobodianiuk

Maximum likelihood estimation of a log-concave probability density is formulated as a convex optimization problem and shown to have an equivalent dual formulation as a constrained maximum Shannon entropy problem. Closely related maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-16 Roger Koenker , Ivan Mizera

We study the adaptation properties of the multivariate log-concave maximum likelihood estimator over three subclasses of log-concave densities. The first consists of densities with polyhedral support whose logarithms are piecewise affine.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Oliver Y. Feng , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Arlene K. H. Kim , Richard J. Samworth