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When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Muneya Matsui

A binomial time series describes binary behaviors of individuals within a group, which depend on group behaviors in the past. Binomial time series data is widely applied in fields such as infection tracking and behavior analysis. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Yajun Liu , Beth Andrews

In testing of hypothesis the robustness of the tests is an important concern. Generally, the maximum likelihood based tests are most efficient under standard regularity conditions, but they are highly non-robust even under small deviations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

We study a generalization of the Random Energy Model to the case when the number of exponential factors varies at random. Also a relation between REM and the Erd"os-R'enyi limit theorem for maximums of partial sums is considered.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 O. Khorunzhiy

We propose and study a general method for construction of consistent statistical tests on the basis of possibly indirect, corrupted, or partially available observations. The class of tests devised in the paper contains Neyman's smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Mikhail Langovoy

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

Deep neural network (NN) with millions or billions of parameters can perform really well on unseen data, after being trained from a finite training set. Various prior theories have been developed to explain such excellent ability of NNs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Khoat Than , Dat Phan

Time-reversibility is a crucial feature of many time series models, while time-irreversibility is the rule rather than the exception in real-life data. Testing the null hypothesis of time-reversibilty, therefore, should be an important step…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Yuichi Goto , Marc Hallin

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

While time series prediction is an important, actively studied problem, the predictive accuracy of time series models is complicated by non-stationarity. We develop a fast and effective approach to allow for non-stationarity in the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Daniel M. McCarthy , Shane T. Jensen

The following note proves that conditional entropy of a sequence is almost time-reversal invariant, specifically they only differ by a small constant factor dependent only upon the forward and backward models that the entropies are being…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Adam Wang

We introduce a powerful scan statistic and the corresponding test for detecting the presence and pinpointing the location of a change point within the distribution of a data sequence with the data elements residing in a separable metric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Paromita Dubey , Minxing Zheng

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

This article considers change point testing and estimation for a sequence of high-dimensional data. In the case of testing for a mean shift for high-dimensional independent data, we propose a new test which is based on $U$-statistic in Chen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Runmin Wang , Changbo Zhu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Data objects taking value in a general metric space have become increasingly common in modern data analysis. In this paper, we study two important statistical inference problems, namely, two-sample testing and change-point detection, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Feiyu Jiang , Changbo Zhu , Xiaofeng Shao

We establish a sharp large deviation principle for renewal-reward processes, supposing that each renewal involves a broad-sense reward taking values in a real separable Banach space. In fact, we demonstrate a weak large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

Permutation entropy has become a standard tool for time series analysis that exploits the temporal properties of these data sets. Many current applications use an approach based on Shannon entropy, which implicitly assumes an underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daryl DeFord , Katherine Moore

New inference methods for the multivariate coefficient of variation and its reciprocal, the standardized mean, are presented. While there are various testing procedures for both parameters in the univariate case, it is less known how to do…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Marc Ditzhaus , Łukas Smaga