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Model risk arises from the misspecification of probabilistic models used for pricing and hedging derivatives. While model risk for European-style claims has been widely studied, much less attention has been given to American-style…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Luna Rigby , Rüdiger Frey , Erik Schlögl

This paper considers the valuation of a European call option under the Heston stochastic volatility model. We present the asymptotic solution to the option pricing problem in powers of the volatility of variance. Then we introduce the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Hongshan Li , Zhongyi Huang

We present an analytic approach to solve a degenerate parabolic problem associated to the Heston model, which is widely used in mathematical finance to derive the price of an European option on an risky asset with stochastic volatility. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-06-10 A. Canale , R. M. Mininni , A. Rhandi

We present an alternative approach to the forecasting of motor vehicle collision rates. We adopt an oft-used tool in mathematical finance, the Heston Stochastic Volatility model, to forecast the short-term and long-term evolution of motor…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-04 Darren Shannon , Grigorios Fountas

We study two complementary methodologies for calibrating implied volatility surfaces: analytical approximations and data-driven models based on rough path theory. On the analytical side, we revisit a second-order asymptotic expansion for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Elisa Alòs , Òscar Burés , Rafael de Santiago , Josep Vives

Motivated by empirical evidence for rough volatility models, this paper investigates continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection under the Volterra Heston model. Due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-30 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

We study the Heston model, where the stock price dynamics is governed by a geometrical (multiplicative) Brownian motion with stochastic variance. We solve the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation exactly and, after integrating out the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Adrian A. Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

We present a discrete time stochastic volatility model in which the conditional distribution of the logreturns is a Variance-Gamma, that is a normal variance-mean mixture with Gamma mixing density. We assume that the Gamma mixing density is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-29 Lorenzo Mercuri , Fabio Bellini

This paper expands traditional stochastic volatility models by allowing for time-varying skewness without imposing it. While dynamic asymmetry may capture the likely direction of future asset returns, it comes at the risk of leading to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-04 Igor Ferreira Batista Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

There are several approaches to modeling and forecasting time series as applied to prices of commodities and financial assets. One of the approaches is to model the price as a non-stationary time series process with heteroscedastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Andrei Renatovich Batyrov

In this paper, we consider the problem of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps based on a hybrid model of stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate with regime-switching. Our modelling framework extends the Heston stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Jiling Cao , Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan , Wenjun Zhang

Classical solvable stochastic volatility models (SVM) use a CEV process for instantaneous variance where the CEV parameter $\gamma$ takes just few values: 0 - the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, 1/2 - the Heston (or square root) process, 1-…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-03 Andrey Itkin

In this paper we perform robustness and sensitivity analysis of several continuous-time stochastic volatility (SV) models with respect to the process of market calibration. The analyses should validate the hypothesis on importance of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-17 Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Philipp Ziegler

We propose a hybrid tree-finite difference method in order to approximate the Heston model. We prove the convergence by embedding the procedure in a bivariate Markov chain and we study the convergence of European and American option prices.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Maya Briani , Lucia Caramellino , Antonino Zanette

In 'A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options', Heston proposes a Stochastic Volatility (SV) model with constant interest rate and derives a semi-explicit valuation formula.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Javier de Frutos , Victor Gaton

In American options, the early exercise feature allows the option to be exercised at any time prior to expiration. However, this flexibility introduces a challenge: the pricing model must value the option while simultaneously determining an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Rohan , Siddanth Shetty , Amit N. Kumar

We introduce an affine extension of the Heston model where the instantaneous variance process contains a jump part driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with $\alpha\in(1,2]$. In this framework, we examine the implied volatility and its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-06 Ying Jiao , Chunhua Ma , Simone Scotti , Chao Zhou

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

The Heston model is a well-known two-dimensional financial model. Because the Heston model contains implicit parameters that cannot be determined directly from real market data, calibrating the parameters to real market data is challenging.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Anna Clevenhaus , Claudia Totzeck , Matthias Ehrhardt

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith