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A simple symmetric random walk in the space $\mathbb{Z}^2$ is considered. The asymptotic behavior as the number of jumps tends to infinity of the probability that a fixed edge of the random walk lies in the polygon that forms the boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Aleksandr Mysliuk

In this paper we consider the convex hull of a spherically symmetric sample in $R^d$. Our main contributions are some new asymptotic results for the expectation of the number of vertices, number of facets, area and the volume of the convex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Enkelejd Hashorva

We consider the annealed asymptotics for the survival probability of Brownian motion among randomly distributed traps. The configuration of the traps is given by independent displacements of the lattice points. We determine the long time…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Ryoki Fukushima

We compute the whole asymptotic expansion of the probability that a large uniform labeled graph is connected, and of the probability that a large uniform labeled tournament is irreducible. In both cases, we provide a combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Thierry Monteil , Khaydar Nurligareev

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the location parameter of the Pearson Type VII distribution with known scale. We rigorously establish precise asymptotic properties such as strong consistency, asymptotic normality, Bahadur…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kazuki Okamura

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Thomas Taimre , Patrick J. Laub

We consider a one dimensional ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric independent and identically distributed random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Catherine Matias

In this paper, we analyze the exact asymptotic behavior of the connectivity probability in a random binomial bipartite graph $G(n,m,p)$ under various regimes of the edge probability $p=p(n)$. To determine this probability, a method based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Boris Chinyaev

This paper investigates the second order asymptotic expansion for tail probabilities of discounted aggregate claims in continuous-time renewal risk models with constant interest force. Concretely, two types of continuous-time renewal risk…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-07 Bingzhen Genga , Shijie Wanga , Yang Yang

Several Brownian areas are considered in this paper: the Brownian excursion area, the Brownian bridge area, the Brownian motion area, the Brownian meander area, the Brownian double meander area, the positive part of Brownian bridge area,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-09 Svante Janson , Guy Louchard

We study the evolution of the susceptibility in the subcritical random graph $G(n,p)$ as $n$ tends to infinity. We obtain precise asymptotics of its expectation and variance, and show it obeys a law of large numbers. We also prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Svante Janson , Malwina J. Luczak

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

Modeling and understanding multivariate extreme events is challenging, but of great importance in various applications - e.g. in biostatistics, climatology, and finance. The separating Hill estimator can be used in estimating the extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Matias Heikkilä , Yves Dominicy , Pauliina Ilmonen

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

We consider a class of strongly edge-reinforced random walks, where the corresponding reinforcement weight function is nondecreasing. It is known, from Limic and Tarr\`{e}s [Ann. Probab. (2007), to appear], that the attracting edge emerges…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Codina Cotar , Vlada Limic

In this paper we consider finitary symmetric random walks on groups. We construct new possible asymptotics for the drift. We show that the drift can be very close to linear ant yet sublinear. We also give estimates for entropy growth of…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Erschler-Dyubina

We study the first and second orders of the asymptotic expansion, as the dimension goes to infinity, of the moments of the Hilbert-Schmidt norm of a uniformly distributed matrix in the p-Schatten unit ball. We consider the case of matrices…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Benjamin Dadoun , Matthieu Fradelizi , Olivier Guédon , Pierre-André Zitt