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The large deviation principle on phase space is proved for a class of Markov processes known as random population dynamics with catastrophes. In the paper we study the process which corresponds to the random population dynamics with linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

We obtain a limit of a hierarchical Bayes estimator of a finite population mean when the sample size is large. The limit is in the sense of ordinary calculus, where the sample observations are treated as fixed quantities. Our result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 P. Lahiri , Kanchan Mukherjee

In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Thomas Mikosch , Igor Rodionov

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The Central Limit Theorem provides a foundation for inferential statistics and hypothesis testing. It describes how standardized statistics behave under repeated sampling from large populations. However, if the size of the sample (n)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Mike Crowhurst

In a completely randomized experiment, the variances of treatment effect estimators in the finite population are usually not identifiable and hence not estimable. Although some estimable bounds of the variances have been established in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao , Xiaohua Zhou

Fr\'echet mean and variance provide a way of obtaining mean and variance for general metric space valued random variables and can be used for statistical analysis of data objects that lie in abstract spaces devoid of algebraic structure and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

We present a technique for approximating generic normalization constants subject to constraints. The method is then applied to derive the exact asymptotics for the conditional normalization constant of constrained exponential random graphs.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Mei Yin

We obtain variance inequalities for quadratic forms of weakly dependent random variables with bounded fourth moments. We also discuss two application. Namely, we use these inequalities for deriving the limiting spectral distribution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Pavel Yaskov

Given a training sample of size $m$ from a $d$-dimensional population, we wish to allocate a new observation $Z\in \R^d$ to this population or to the noise. We suppose that the difference between the distribution of the population and that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-30 Yuri I. Ingster , Christophe Pouet , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

This note presents sharp inequalities for deviation probability of a general quadratic form of a random vector \(\xiv\) with finite exponential moments. The obtained deviation bounds are similar to the case of a Gaussian random vector. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

We study the convergence of statistical estimators used in the estimation of large deviation functions describing the fluctuations of equilibrium, nonequilibrium, and manmade stochastic systems. We give conditions for the convergence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-09 Christian M. Rohwer , Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette

We study a rank based univariate two-sample distribution-free test. The test statistic is the difference between the average of between-group rank distances and the average of within-group rank distances. This test statistic is closely…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Jamye Curry , Xin Dang , Hailin Sang

Establishing a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) proves to be a powerful result for a vast number of stochastic models in many application areas of probability theory. The key object of an LDP is the large deviations rate function, from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Ken R. Duffy , Brendan D. Williamson

In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

We analyze the impact of the sampling interval on the estimation of Kramers-Moyal coefficients. We obtain the finite-time expressions of these coefficients for several standard processes. We also analyze extreme situations such as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-17 C. Anteneodo , S. M. Duarte Queiros

A new class of statistical deformable models is introduced to study high-dimensional curves or images. In addition to the standard measurement error term, these deformable models include an extra error term modeling the individual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-24 Jérémie Bigot , Benjamin Charlier

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

A useful sampling-reconstruction model should be stable with respect to different kind of small perturbations, regardless whether they result from jitter, measurement errors, or simply from a small change in the model assumptions. In this…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-31 E. costa-Reyes , A. Aldroubi , I. Krishtal