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In a two-period financial market where a stock is traded dynamically and European options at maturity are traded statically, we study the so-called martingale Schr\"odinger bridge Q*; that is, the minimal-entropy martingale measure among…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-27 Marcel Nutz , Johannes Wiesel , Long Zhao

We introduce a new measure of performance of investment strategies, the monotone Sharpe ratio. We study its properties, establish a connection with coherent risk measures, and obtain an efficient representation for using in applications.

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We propose a new estimation scheme for estimation of the volatility parameters of a semimartingale with jumps based on a jump-detection filter. Our filter uses all of data to analyze the relative size of increments and to discriminate jumps…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper is devoted to study the effects arising from imposing a value-at-risk (VaR) constraint in mean-variance portfolio selection problem for an investor who receives a stochastic cash flow which he/she must then invest in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Jun Ye , Tiantian Li

In this paper, we propose a new class of optimization problems, which maximize the terminal wealth and accumulated consumption utility subject to a mean variance criterion controlling the final risk of the portfolio. The multiple-objective…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-30 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xin-Jiang He , Song-Ping Zhu

The choice of admissible trading strategies in mathematical modelling of financial markets is a delicate issue, going back to Harrison and Kreps (1979). In the context of optimal portfolio selection with expected utility preferences this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-25 Sara Biagini , Aleš Černý

The ongoing concern about systemic risk since the outburst of the global financial crisis has highlighted the need for risk measures at the level of sets of interconnected financial components, such as portfolios, institutions or members of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Yannick Armenti , Stephane Crepey , Samuel Drapeau , Antonis Papapantoleon

We consider continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with bankruptcy prohibition under convex cone portfolio constraints. This is a long-standing and difficult problem not only because of its theoretical significance, but also for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-27 Xun Li , Zuo Quan Xu

We propose an alternative approach towards cost mitigation in volatility-managed portfolios based on smoothing the predictive density of an otherwise standard stochastic volatility model. Specifically, we develop a novel variational Bayes…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi , Nicolas Bianco

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

In many stochastic problems, the output of interest depends on an input random vector mainly through a single random variable (or index) via an appropriate univariate transformation of the input. We exploit this feature by proposing an…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-16 Erik Hintz , Marius Hofert , Christiane Lemieux , Yoshihiro Taniguchi

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Li Xia

We present a new approach for studying the problem of optimal hedging of a European option in a finite and complete discrete-time market model. We consider partial hedging strategies that maximize the success probability or minimize the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-28 Peter G. Lindberg

In this paper, we study a mean-variance optimization problem in an infinite horizon discrete time discounted Markov decision process (MDP). The objective is to minimize the variance of system rewards with the constraint of mean performance.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Li Xia

In this paper we study a risk-minimizing hedging problem for a semimartingale incomplete financial market where d+1 assets are traded continuously and whose price is expressed in units of the num\'{e}raire portfolio. According to the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

Successful forecasting models strike a balance between parsimony and flexibility. This is often achieved by employing suitable shrinkage priors that penalize model complexity but also reward model fit. In this note, we modify the stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

We consider a mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a financial market with contagion risk. The risky assets follow a jump-diffusion model, in which jumps are driven by a multivariate Hawkes process with mutual-excitation effect. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding some elements from the set of intrinsic $p$-mean(s) associated to a probability measure $\nu$ on a compact Riemannian manifold and to $p\in[1,\infty)$. It is fed sequentially with independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Duality for robust hedging with proportional transaction costs of path dependent European options is obtained in a discrete time financial market with one risky asset. Investor's portfolio consists of a dynamically traded stock and a static…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-30 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

This paper introduces a martingale that characterizes two properties of evolving forecast distributions. Ideal forecasts of a future event behave as martingales, sequen- tially updating the forecast to leverage the available information as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Dean P. Foster , Robert A. Stine