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In stochastic population dynamics, stochastic wandering can produce transition to an absorbing state. In particular, under Allee effects, low densities amplify the possibility of population collapse. We investigate this in an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

In this paper we consider a branching particle system consisting of particles moving according to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in $\Rd$ and undergoing a binary, supercritical branching with a constant rate $\lambda>0$. This system is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-23 Radosław Adamczak , Piotr Miłoś

In this paper we develop a framework for estimating Probability of Default (PD) based on stochastic models governing an appropriate asset value processes. In particular, we build upon a L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and consider…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Kyriakos Georgiou , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We show on- and off-diagonal upper estimates for the transition densities of symmetric Levy and Levy-type processes. To get the an-diagonal estimates we prove a Nash type inequality for the related Dirichlet form. For the off-diagonal…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-23 V. Knopova , R. Schilling

The indefinite integral of the homogenized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is a well-known model for physical Brownian motion, modelling the behaviour of an object subject to random impulses [L. S. Ornstein, G. E. Uhlenbeck: On the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-12 Peter Friz , Paul Gassiat , Terry Lyons

In this paper, we study nonparametric estimation of the L\'{e}vy density for L\'{e}vy processes, with and without Brownian component. For this, we consider $n$ discrete time observations with step $\Delta$. The asymptotic framework is: $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-13 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot

We consider Kallenberg's hypothesis on the characteristic function of a L\'{e}vy process and show that it allows the construction of weakly continuous bridges of the L\'{e}vy process conditioned to stay positive. We therefore provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

In this paper, we study the classical problem of the first passage hitting density of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. We give two complementary (forward and backward) formulations of this problem and provide semi-analytical solutions for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-11 Alexander Lipton , Vadim Kaushansky

A scalar Langevin-type process $X(t)$ that is driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise $\eta(t)$ is non-Markovian. However, the joint dynamics of $X$ and $\eta$ is described by a Markov process in two dimensions. But even though there exists a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-17 B. Lehle , J. Peinke

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

We study a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $\mathbf{X}$ which arises from a L\'evy process $\mathbf{Y}$ by partial resetting, that is the position of the process $\mathbf{X}$ at a Poisson moment equals $c$ times its position right before…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Tomasz Grzywny , Karol Szczypkowski , Zbigniew Palmowski , Bartosz Trojan

The infinite (in both directions) sequence of the distributions $\mu^{(k)}$ of the stochastic integrals $\int_0^{\infty-}c^{-N_{t-}^{(k)}} dL_t^{(k)}$ for integers $k$ is investigated. Here $c>1$ and $(N_t^{(k)},L_t^{(k)})$, $t\geq0$, is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Alexander Lindner , Ken-iti Sato

Identifying the full entropy production of active particles is a challenging task. We introduce a microscopic, thermodynamically consistent model, which leads to active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck statistics in the continuum limit. Our minimal model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

We consider Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes (OU-processes) associated to hypoelliptic diffusion processes on finite-dimensional Lie groups: let $ \mathcal{L} $ be a hypoelliptic, left-invariant ``sum of the squares''-operator on a Lie group $…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-12 Fabrice Baudoin , Martin Hairer , Josef Teichmann

Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

For a L\'evy process $X$ on a finite time interval consider the probability that it exceeds some fixed threshold $x>0$ while staying below $x$ at the points of a regular grid. We establish exact asymptotic behavior of this probability as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Krzysztof Bisewski , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution $\mu$ with density $\propto e^{-V}$ for some potential function $V:\mathbb R^d\to \mathbb R$ with query access to $V$ and $\nabla V$. We start with the following standard assumptions: (1)…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yuchen He , Zhehan Lei , Jianan Shao , Chihao Zhang

We study whether a multivariate L\'evy-driven moving average process can shadow arbitrarily closely any continuous path, starting from the present value of the process, with positive conditional probability, which we call the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Tommi Sottinen , Adil Yazigi

In the context of non-equilibrium statistical physics, the entropy production rate is an important concept to describe how far a specific state of a system is from its equilibrium state. In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Ran Wang , Lihu Xu