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We obtain two theorems extending the use of a saddlepoint approximation to multiparameter problems for likelihood ratio-like statistics which allow their use in permutation and rank tests and could be used in bootstrap approximations. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 John Kolassa , John Robinson

Accurate inference on a scalar interest parameter in the presence of a nuisance parameter may be obtained using an adjusted version of the signed root likelihood ratio statistic, in particular Barndorff-Nielsen's $R^*$ statistic. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Thomas J. DiCiccio , Todd A. Kuffner , G. Alastair Young

We investigate saddlepoint approximations applied to the score test statistic in genome-wide association studies with binary phenotypes. The inaccuracy in the normal approximation of the score test statistic increases with increasing sample…

In presence of nuisance parameters, profile likelihood inference is often unreliable and biased, particularly in small sample scenario. Over past decades several adjustments have been proposed to modify profile likelihood function in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-29 Md. Mazharul Islam , Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan

Motivated by the application of saddlepoint approximations to resampling-based statistical tests, we prove that the Lugannani-Rice formula has vanishing relative error when applied to approximate conditional tail probabilities of averages…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Ziang Niu , Jyotishka Ray Choudhury , Eugene Katsevich

We approximate the distribution of the sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables using a shifted binomial distribution where the three parameters (the number of trials, the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-02 Vydas Čekanavičius , Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Michael Shwartz

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

Ratios of quadratic forms in correlated normal variables which introduce noncentrality into the quadratic forms are considered. The denominator is assumed to be positive (with probability 1). Various serial correlation estimates such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ronald W. Butler , Marc S. Paolella

This paper presents a new approach to conditional inference, based on the simulation of samples conditioned by a statistics of the data. Also an explicit expression for the approximation of the conditional likelihood of long runs of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-07 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-26 Igor Volobouev , A. Alexandre Trindade

The saddlepoint approximation gives an approximation to the density of a random variable in terms of its moment generating function. When the underlying random variable is itself the sum of $n$ unobserved i.i.d. terms, the basic classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jesse Goodman

Under standard regularity assumptions, we provide simple approximations for specific classes of fiducial and confidence distributions and discuss their connections with objective Bayesian posteriors. For a real parameter the approximations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

By the modified directed likelihood, higher order accurate confidence limits for a scalar parameter are obtained from the likelihood. They are conveniently described in terms of a confidence distribution, that is a sample dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Tore Schweder

Vecchia's approximate likelihood for Gaussian process parameters depends on how the observations are ordered, which can be viewed as a deficiency because the exact likelihood is permutation-invariant. This article takes the alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-20 Joseph Guinness

Many randomized approximation algorithms operate by giving a procedure for simulating a random variable $X$ which has mean $\mu$ equal to the target answer, and a relative standard deviation bounded above by a known constant $c$. Examples…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-16 Mark Huber

We develop new higher-order asymptotic techniques for the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in a spatial panel data model, with fixed effects, time-varying covariates, and spatially correlated errors. Our saddlepoint density and tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Chaonan Jiang , Davide La Vecchia , Elvezio Ronchetti , Olivier Scaillet

This paper presents an identity between the multivariate and univariate saddlepoint approximations applied to sample path probabilities for a certain class of stochastic processes. This class, which we term the recursively compounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Jesse Goodman

Standard Bayesian analyses can be difficult to perform when the full likelihood, and consequently the full posterior distribution, is too complex and difficult to specify or if robustness with respect to data or to model misspecifications…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Federica Giummolè , Valentina Mameli , Erlis Ruli , Laura Ventura

In this paper we obtain an adjusted version of the likelihood ratio test for errors-in-variables multivariate linear regression models. The error terms are allowed to follow a multivariate distribution in the class of the elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-05 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari
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