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Related papers: Perpetual American options within CTRW's

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We develop the idea of non-Markovian CTRW (continuous time random walk) approximation to the evolution of interacting particle systems, which leads to a general class of fractional kinetic measure-valued evolutions with variable order. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov , Marianna S. Troeva

Perpetual futures are the most popular cryptocurrency derivatives. Perpetuals offer leveraged exposure to their underlying without rollover or direct ownership. Unlike fixed-maturity futures, perpetuals are not guaranteed to converge to the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-23 Songrun He , Asaf Manela , Omri Ross , Victor von Wachter

The aim of this work consists in the study of the optimal investment strategy for a behavioural investor, whose preference towards risk is described by both a probability distortion and an S-shaped utility function. Within a continuous-time…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-30 Miklos Rasonyi , Andrea M. Rodrigues

The aim of this paper is to deepen the analysis of the asymptotic behavior of the so-called minimal random walk (MRW) using a new martingale approach. The MRW is a discrete-time random walk with infinite memory that has three regimes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Bernard Bercu , Víctor Hugo Vázquez Guevara

We consider the super-hedging price of an American option in a discrete-time market in which stocks are available for dynamic trading and European options are available for static trading. We show that the super-hedging price $\pi$ is given…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

Continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) on discrete state spaces, ranging from regular lattices to complex networks, are ubiquitous across physics, chemistry, and biology. Models with coarse-grained states, for example those employed in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-03 Michael Manhart , Willow Kion-Crosby , Alexandre V. Morozov

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with regime-switching and random horizon. Unlike previous works, the dynamic of assets are described by non-Markovian regime-switching models in the sense that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-16 Tian Chen , Ruyi Liu , Zhen Wu

The Black-Scholes theory of option pricing has been considered for many years as an important but very approximate zeroth-order description of actual market behavior. We generalize the functional form of the diffusion of these systems and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 Lester Ingber

We consider the continuous time random walk model (CTRW) of tracer's motion in porous medium flows based on the experimentally determined distributions of pore velocity and pore size reported in Holzner et al. Phys. Rev. E 92, 013015…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-31 Itzhak Fouxon , Markus Holzner

We consider a random walk with transition probabilities weakly dependent on an environment with a deterministic, but strongly chaotic, evolution. We prove that for almost all initial conditions of the environment the walk satisfies the CLT.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Carlangelo Liverani

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-10 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

We present continuum models that describe the evolution of the position of a random walker on a growing network using four different growth algorithms. Three of these involve a random element, including one in which the motility rate of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-06-26 Robert Ross , Walter Fontana

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

We study tail risk dynamics in high-frequency financial markets and their connection with trading activity and market uncertainty. We introduce a dynamic extreme value regression model accommodating both stationary and local unit-root…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-05 Julien Hambuckers , Li Sun , Luca Trapin

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

Many stochastic time series can be modelled by discrete random walks in which a step of random sign but constant length $\delta x$ is performed after each time interval $\delta t$. In correlated discrete time random walks (CDTRWs), the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-06 Claus Metzner

We consider random walks on dynamical networks where edges appear and disappear during finite time intervals. The process is grounded on three independent stochastic processes determining the walker's waiting-time, the up-time and down-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-28 Julien Petit , Martin Gueuning , Timoteo Carletti , Ben Lauwens , Renaud Lambiotte

The Continuous Time Random Walk (CTRW) formalism is used to model the non-Poisson relaxation of a system response to perturbation. Two mechanisms to perturb the system are analyzed: a first in which the perturbation, seen as a potential…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Gerardo Aquino , Paolo Grgolini , Bruce J. West

Based on the theory of continuous time random walks (CTRW), we build the models of characterizing the transitions among anomalous diffusions with different diffusion exponents, often observed in natural world. In the CTRW framework, we take…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Trifce Sandev , Weihua Deng , Pengbo Xu