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We consider an integer-valued time series $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in\Z}$ where the models after a time $k^*$ is Poisson autoregressive with the conditional mean that depends on a parameter $\theta^*\in\Theta\subset\R^d$. The structure of the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 William Kengne , Isidore Séraphin Ngongo

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Günter Last

Although introduced in the case of Poisson random measures, the lent particle method applies as well in other situations. We study here the case of marked point processes. In this case the Malliavin calculus (here in the sense of Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Nicolas Bouleau

Quantitative understanding of human behaviors provides elementary comprehension of the complexity of many human-initiated systems. A basic assumption embedded in the previous analyses on human dynamics is that its temporal statistics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-07-31 Tao Zhou , Xiaopu Han , Binghong Wang

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The result provided in this paper helps complete a unified picture of the scaling behavior in heavy-tailed stochastic models for transmission of packet traffic on high-speed communication links. Popular models include infinite source…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Clément Dombry , Ingemar Kaj

The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

Consider the max-stable process $\eta(t) = \max_{i\in\mathbb N} U_i \rm{e}^{\langle X_i, t\rangle - \kappa(t)}$, $t\in\mathbb{R}^d$, where $\{U_i, i\in\mathbb{N}\}$ are points of the Poisson process with intensity $u^{-2}\rm{d} u$ on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko

In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

The random connection model is a random graph whose vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and whose edges are obtained by randomly connecting pairs of Poisson points in a position dependent but independent way. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-06 Günter Last , Franz Nestmann , Matthias Schulte

We provide asymptotic theory for certain functions of the sample autocovariance matrices of a high-dimensional time series with infinite fourth moment. The time series exhibits linear dependence across the coordinates and through time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper we concentrate on an alternative modeling strategy for positive data that exhibit spatial or spatio-temporal dependence. Specifically we propose to consider stochastic processes obtained trough a monotone transformation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-08 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , C. Gaetan

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

We establish sample-path large deviation principles for the centered cumulative functional of marked Poisson cluster processes in the Skorokhod space equipped with the M1 topology, under joint regular variation assumptions on the marks and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Fabien Baeriswyl , Olivier Wintenberger

The paper addresses general aspects of experimental data analysis, dealing with the separation of ``signal vs. background''. It consists of two parts. Part I is a tutorial on statistical event classification, Bayesian inference, and test…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-30 Rudolf Frühwirth , Winfried Mitaroff

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

The theory of sparse stochastic processes offers a broad class of statistical models to study signals. In this framework, signals are represented as realizations of random processes that are solution of linear stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Julien Fageot , Virginie Uhlmann , Michael Unser
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