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Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The statistical properties of avalanches in a dissipative particulate system under slow shear are investigated using molecular dynamics simulations. It is found that the magnitude-frequency distribution obeys the Gutenberg-Richter law only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-31 Takahiro Hatano , Clément Narteau , Peter Shebalin

We study the statistical properties of recurrence times in the self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson process, the simplest extension of the Poisson process that takes into account how the past events influence the occurrence of future…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The time dependence of the parameter of the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) magnitude distribution is computed for foreshock sequences of earthquakes, correlated with the main shock, by using the geometric-growth model of earthquake focus, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-03-06 B. F. Apostol , L. C. Cune

We introduce a shear experiment that quantitatively reproduces the main laws of seismicity. By continuously and slowly shearing a compressed monolayer of disks in a ring-like geometry, our system delivers events of frictional failures with…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-05 S. Lherminier , R. Planet , V. Levy dit Vehel , G. Simon , L. Vanel , K. J. Måløy , O. Ramos

The empirical Bath's law is derived from the magnitude-difference statistical distribution of earthquake pairs. The pair distribution related to earthquake correlations is presented. The single-event distribution of dynamically correlated…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-16 Bogdan Felix Apostol

We study a 2D quasi-static discrete {\it crack} anti-plane model of a tectonic plate with long range elastic forces and quenched disorder. The plate is driven at its border and the load is transfered to all elements through elastic forces.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-01-29 Didier Sornette , Christian Vanneste

When the rate of shot noise is controlled by on-off states we speak of intermittent shot noise. The on-off states lead to alternately occurring clusters of events and intermissions, respectively. We derive the power spectrum of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-04 Ferdinand Grueneis

Many human-related activities show power-law decaying interevent time distribution with exponents usually varying between 1 and 2. We study a simple task-queuing model, which produces bursty time series due to the nontrivial dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Szabolcs Vajna , Bálint Tóth , János Kertész

The recently introduced Minimalist Model [Vazquez- Prada et al., 2002] of characteristic earthquakes provides a simple representation of the seismicity originated in a sin- gle fault. Here, we first characterize the properties of this model…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-09-29 R. Lopez-Ruiz , M. Vazquez-Prada , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

The exact mechanisms leading to an earthquake are not fully understood and the space-time structural features are non-trivial. Previous studies suggest the seismicity of very low intensity earthquakes, known as micro-earthquakes, may…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-12 Arash Andalib , Raheleh Baharloo , Jose C. Principe

Event occurrence is not only subject to the environmental changes, but is also facilitated by the events that have occurred in a system. Here, we develop a method for estimating such extrinsic and intrinsic factors from a single series of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-04 Shinsuke Koyama , Shigeru Shinomoto

Self-similarity may stem from two origins: the process' increments infinite variance and/or process' memory. The $b$-value of the Gutenberg-Richter law comes from the first origin. In the frame of natural time analysis of earthquake data, a…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

We develop a statistical theory describing quantum-mechanical scattering of a particle by a cavity when the geometry is such that the classical dynamics is chaotic. This picture is relevant to a variety of systems, ranging from atomic…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 P. A. Mello , H. U. Baranger

Recent observation studies have revealed that earthquakes are classified into several different categories. Each category might be characterized by the unique statistical feature in the time series, but the present understanding is still…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Sumanta Kundu , Anca Opris , Yohei Yukutake , Takahiro Hatano

Computational earthquake sequence models provide generative estimates of the time, location, and size of synthetic seismic events that can be compared with observed earthquake histories and assessed as rupture forecasts. Here we describe a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-17 Brendan J. Meade

Independent of specific local features, global spatio-temporal structures in diverse phenomena around bifurcation points are described by the complex Ginzburg-Landau equation (CGLE) derived using the reductive perturbation method, which…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-11-24 Yutaka Sumino , Takuya Saito , Takahiro Hatano , Tetsuo Yamaguchi , Satoshi Ide

The statistical properties of earthquake aftershocks are studied. The scaling relation for the exponents of the Omori law and the power-law calm time distribution (i.e., the interoccurrence time distribution), which is valid if a sequence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We consider a modified Burridge-Knopoff model with a view to understand results of acoustic emission (AE) relevant to earthquakes by adding a dissipative term which mimics bursts of acoustic signals. Interestingly, we find a precursor…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Rumi De , G. Ananthakrishna
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