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Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

We consider temporal models of rapidly changing Markovian networks modulated by time-evolving spatially dependent kernels that define rates for edge formation and dissolution. Alternatively, these can be viewed as Markovian networks with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Souvik Ray

In this work, we present the equivalent of many theorems available for continuous time systems. In particular, the theory is applied to Averaging Theory and Separation of time scales. In particular the proofs developed for Averaging Theory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Nicoletta Bof , Ruggero Carli , Luca Schenato

The Hawkes process is a simple point process with wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. The Hawkes process is defined for continuous-time setting. However, data is also recorded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

We propose a computational method for large deviation statistics of time-averaged quantities in general Markov processes. In our proposed method, we repeat a response measurement against external forces, where the forces are determined by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-12 Takahiro Nemoto , Shin-ichi Sasa

A new sufficient condition is proved for the existence of stochastic semigroups generated by the sum of two unbounded operators. It is applied to one-dimensional piecewise deterministic Markov processes, where we also discuss the existence…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-07-07 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

We consider a random walk on a discrete connected graph having some infinite branches plus finitely many vertices with finite degrees. We find the generator of a strong stationary dual in the sense of Fill, and use it to find some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-16 Guillaume Copros

We calculate the large deviation functions characterizing the long-time fluctuations of the occupation of drifted Brownian motion and show that these functions have non-analytic points. This provides the first example of dynamical phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-02-03 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette

We consider a class of slow-fast processes on a connected complete Riemannian manifold $M$.The limiting dynamics as the scale separation goes to $\infty$ is governed by the averaging principle. Around this limit, we prove large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Yanyan Hu , Richard C. Kraaij , Fubao Xi

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical measure process associated with a general class of finite-state mean field interacting particle systems with Lipschitz continuous transition rates that satisfy a certain ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Paul Dupuis , Kavita Ramanan , Wei Wu

In this paper we consider the field of local times of a discrete-time Markov chain on a general state space, and obtain uniform (in time) upper bounds on the total variation distance between this field and the one of a sequence of $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Diego F. de Bernardini , Christophe Gallesco , Serguei Popov

This article treats both discrete time and continuous time stopping problems for general Markov processes on the real line with general linear costs. Using an auxiliary function of maximum representation type, conditions are given to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Sören Christensen , Tobias Sohr

Conditioning Markov processes to avoid a set is a classical problem that has been studied in many settings. In the present article we study the question if a Levy process can be conditioned to avoid an interval and, if so, the path behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Leif Doering , Alexander R. Watson , Philip Weissmann

We prove a sample path large deviation principle (LDP) with sub-linear speed for unbounded functionals of certain Markov chains induced by the Lindley recursion. The LDP holds in the Skorokhod space $\mathbb{D}[0,T]$ equipped with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

We establish subgeometric bounds on convergence rate of general Markov processes in the Wasserstein metric. In the discrete time setting we prove that the Lyapunov drift condition and the existence of a "good" $d$-small set imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Oleg Butkovsky

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

If $(T_t)$ is a semigroup of Markov operators on an $L^1$-space that admits a non-trivial lower bound, then a well-known theorem of Lasota and Yorke asserts that the semigroup is strongly convergent as $t \to \infty$. In this article we…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Moritz Gerlach , Jochen Glück

We address the general problem of formulating the dynamical large deviations of non-Markovian systems in a closed form. Specifically, we consider a broad class of ``self-interacting'' jump processes whose dynamics depends on the past…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Francesco Coghi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Juan P. Garrahan

In this paper, we consider the optimal stopping problem on semi-Markov processes (SMPs) with finite horizon, and aim to establish the existence and computation of optimal stopping times. To achieve the goal, we first develop the main…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-16 Fang Chen , Xianping Guo , Zhong-Wei Liao

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović