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In risk management, often the probability must be estimated that a random vector falls into an extreme failure set. In the framework of bivariate extreme value theory, we construct an estimator for such failure probabilities and analyze its…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

Conditionally specified models are often used to describe complex multivariate data. Such models assume implicit structures on the extremes. So far, no methodology exists for calculating extremal characteristics of conditional models since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Stan Tendijck , Jonathan Tawn , Philip Jonathan

This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Damien Bosc , Alfred Galichon

Estimating copulas with discrete marginal distributions is challenging, especially in high dimensions, because computing the likelihood contribution of each observation requires evaluating $2^{J}$ terms, with $J$ the number of discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-12 D. Gunawan , M. -N. Tran , K. Suzuki , J. Dick , R. Kohn

In this paper, we compare two numerical methods for approximating the probability that the sum of dependent regularly varying random variables exceeds a high threshold under Archimedean copula models. The first method is based on…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-31 Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau , Quang Huy Nguyen , Christian Robert

We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

We derive sharp upper and lower bounds for the pointwise concentration function of the maximum statistic of $d$ identically distributed real-valued random variables. Our first main result places no restrictions either on the common marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Matias D. Cattaneo , Ricardo P. Masini , William G. Underwood

This work proposes an estimator with both Peak-Over-Threshold and Block-Maxima flavors, uses it to estimate the Pickands dependence function of bivariate time series, and illustrates how it brings down the asymptotic bias and the overall…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-15 Nan Zou

A copula of continuous random variables $X$ and $Y$ is called an \emph{implicit dependence copula} if there exist functions $\alpha$ and $\beta$ such that $\alpha(X) = \beta(Y)$ almost surely, which is equivalent to $C$ being factorizable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Songkiat Sumetkijakan

In this paper, we investigate the almost sure convergence, in supremum norm, of the rank-based linear wavelet estimator for a multivariate copula density. Based on empirical process tools, we prove a uniform limit law for the deviation,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Cheikh Tidiane Seck , Salha Mamane

A bivariate random vector can exhibit either asymptotic independence or dependence between the largest values of its components. When used as a statistical model for risk assessment in fields such as finance, insurance or meteorology, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Sebastian Engelke , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

Pickands constants play a crucial role in the asymptotic theory of Gaussian processes. They are commonly defined as the limits of a sequence of expectations involving fractional Brownian motions and, as such, their exact value is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Krzysztof Dębicki , Sebastian Engelke , Enkelejd Hashorva

We consider the recursive estimation of a regression functional where the explanatory variables take values in some functional space. We prove the almost sure convergence of such estimates for dependent functional data. Also we derive the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-19 Aboubacar Amiri , Baba Thiam

We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

In this paper, we propose simple estimation methods dedicated to a semiparametric family of bivariate copulas. These copulas can be simply estimated through the estimation of their univariate generating function. We take profit of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-04 Cécile Amblard , Stéphane Girard

A class of R-estimators based on the concepts of multivariate signed ranks and the optimal rank-based tests developed in Hallin and Paindaveine [Ann. Statist. 34 (2006)] is proposed for the estimation of the shape matrix of an elliptical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Marc Hallin , Hannu Oja , Davy Paindaveine

The family of rank estimators, including Han's maximum rank correlation (Han, 1987) as a notable example, has been widely exploited in studying regression problems. For these estimators, although the linear index is introduced for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Yanqin Fan , Fang Han , Wei Li , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Based on the concept of a L\'evy copula to describe the dependence structure of a multivariate L\'evy process we present a new estimation procedure. We consider a parametric model for the marginal L\'evy processes as well as for the L\'evy…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-10 Habib Esmaeili , Claudia Klüppelberg

It is well known that an extreme order statistic and a central order statistic (os) as well as an intermediate os and a central os from a sample of iid univariate random variables get asymptotically independent as the sample size increases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Michael Falk , Florian Wisheckel