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Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

Random-matrix theory is applied to transition-rate matrices in the Pauli master equation. We study the distribution and correlations of eigenvalues, which govern the dynamics of complex stochastic systems. Both the cases of identical and of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Carsten Timm

Given the discrete-time sequence of nonnegative random variables, general dependencies between the exponential convergence of the expectations, exponential convergence of the trajectories and the logarithmic growth of the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Dawid Tarłowski

This paper explores hypothesis testing for the parametric forms of the mean and variance functions in regression models under diverging-dimension settings. To mitigate the curse of dimensionality, we introduce weighted residual empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Falong Tan , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Random invariant manifolds are geometric objects useful for understanding complex dynamics under stochastic influences. Under a nonuniform hyperbolicity or a nonuniform exponential dichotomy condition, the existence of random pseudo-stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Tomas Caraballo , Jinqiao Duan , Kening Lu , Bjorn Schmalfuss

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

We derive the exponential as well as power decreasing tail estimations for normed sums of centered independent identical distributed (or not) random variables on the Khintchine's form. We consider arbitrary, in particular, non-Rademacher's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We estimate density and regression functions for weak dependant datas. Using an exponential inequality obtained by Dedecker and Prieur and in a previous article of the author, we control the deviation between the estimator and the function…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Véronique Maume-Deschamps

We use the generic chaining device proposed by Talagrand to establish exponential bounds on the deviation probability of some suprema of random processes. Then, given a random vector $\xi$ in $\R^{n}$ the components of which are independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-22 Yannick Baraud

Freedman's inequality is a supermartingale counterpart to Bennett's inequality. This result shows that the tail probabilities of a supermartingale is controlled by the quadratic characteristic and a uniform upper bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Distorted distributions were introduced in the context of actuarial science for several variety of insurance problems. In this paper we consider the quantile-based probabilistic mean value theorem given in Di Crescenzo et al. [4] and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Julio Mulero

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

We consider the stochastic integrals of multivariate point processes and study their concentration phenomena. In particular, we obtain a Bernstein type of concentration inequality through Dol\'eans-Dade exponential formula and a uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Hanchao Wang , Zhengyan Lin , Zhonggen Su

In this paper, we propose a new approach for deriving probabilistic inequalities. Our main idea is to exploit the information of underlying distributions by virtue of the monotone likelihood ratio property and Berry-Essen inequality.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Xinjia Chen

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

We obtain an uniform tail estimates for natural normed sums of independent random variables (r.v.) with regular varying tails of distributions. We give also many examples on order to show the exactness of offered estimates and discuss some…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We establish theoretical guarantees for the expected prediction error of the exponential weighting aggregate in the case of multivariate regression that is when the label vector is multidimensional. We consider the regression model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Bob Pepin

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama