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We describe, at the microscopic level, the dynamics of N interacting components where the probability is very small when N is large that a given component interact more than once, directly or indirectly, up to time t, with any other…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-24 Alain Bélanger , Gaston Giroux

Using a metric related to the returns correlation, a method is proposed to reconstruct an economic space from the market data. A reduced subspace, associated to the systematic structure of the market, is identified and its dimension related…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 R. Vilela Mendes , Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

This article proposes predictive economics as a distinct analytical perspective within economics, grounded in machine learning and centred on predictive accuracy rather than causal identification. Drawing on the instrumentalist tradition…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-07 Miguel Alves Pereira

New continuous and stochastic extensions of the minority game, devised as a fundamental model for a market of competitive agents, are introduced and studied in the context of statistical physics. The new formulation reproduces the key…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Andrea Cavagna , Juan P. Garrahan , Irene Giardina , David Sherrington

In recent times, the academic ecosystem has seen a tremendous growth in number of authors and publications. While most temporal studies in this area focus on evolution of co-author and citation network structure, this systemic inflation has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Yan Wu , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Dah Ming Chiu

Analysis of long-range dependence in financial time series was one of the initial steps of econophysics into the domain of mainstream finance and financial economics in the 1990s. Since then, many different financial series have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Ladislav Kristoufek

This paper introduces nonparametric econometric methods that characterize general power law distributions under basic stability conditions. These methods extend the literature on power laws in the social sciences in several directions.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-07 Ricardo T. Fernholz

Economic growth is often associated with diversification of economic activities. Making a product in a country is dependent on having, and acquiring, the capabilities needed to make the product, making the process path-dependent. We derive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-05 Neave O'Clery , Muhammed A. Yildirim , Ricardo Hausmann

Differentiable physics provides a new approach for modeling and understanding the physical systems by pairing the new technology of differentiable programming with classical numerical methods for physical simulation. We survey the rapidly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Bharath Ramsundar , Dilip Krishnamurthy , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan

We demonstrate using multi-layered networks, the existence of an empirical linkage between the dynamics of the financial network constructed from the market indices and the macroeconomic networks constructed from macroeconomic variables…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-18 Kiran Sharma , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti

This article is written for the online newspaper "The Photon" published by the Department of Physics, University of Maryland. The article describes econophysics research done in the group of Victor Yakovenko. It briefly surveys the subjects…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Victor M. Yakovenko

Many applications require that we learn the parameters of a model from data. EM is a method used to learn the parameters of probabilistic models for which the data for some of the variables in the models is either missing or hidden. There…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Luis E. Ortiz , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

Our computational economic analysis investigates the relationship between inequality, mobility and the financial accumulation process. Extending the baseline model by Levy et al., we characterise the economic process through stylised return…

General Economics · Economics 2020-02-20 Simone Righi , Yuri Biondi

Scientific research is a major driving force in a knowledge based economy. Income, health and wellbeing depend on scientific progress. The better we understand the inner workings of the scientific enterprise, the better we can prompt,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Michael Ginda , Andrea Scharnhorst , Katy Borner

Promoting and increasing energy efficiency is a promising method of reducing CO2 emissions and avoiding the potentially devastating effects of climate change. The question is: How do we induce a cultural or behavioural change whereby people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 Federico Gallo , Pierluigi Contucci , Adam Coutts , Ignacio Gallo

In this short paper, we overview and extend the results of our papers cond-mat/0001432, cond-mat/0008305, and cond-mat/0103544, where we use an analogy with statistical physics to describe probability distributions of money, income, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Adrian A. Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

Although financial models violate ergodicity in general, observing the ergodic behavior in the markets is not rare. Policymakers and market participants control the market behavior in critical and emergency states, which leads to some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Kiarash Firouzi , Mohammad Jelodari Mamaghani

Economic complexity - a group of dimensionality-reduction methods that apply network science to trade data - represented a paradigm shift in development economics towards materializing the once-intangible concept of capabilities as…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-08 Ziang Huang , Huashan Chen

Economic growth results from countries' accumulation of organizational and technological capabilities. The Economic and Product Complexity Indices, introduced as an attempt to measure these capabilities from a country's basket of exported…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-25 Carlo Bottai , Jacopo Di Iorio , Martina Iori

Enhanced sampling algorithms have emerged as powerful methods to extend the utility of molecular dynamics simulations and allow the sampling of larger portions of the configuration space of complex systems in a given amount of simulation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-19 Jérôme Hénin , Tony Lelièvre , Michael R. Shirts , Omar Valsson , Lucie Delemotte