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To estimate the smoothing distribution in a nonlinear state space model, we apply the conditional particle filter with ancestor sampling. This gives an iterative algorithm in a Markov chain Monte Carlo fashion, with asymptotic convergence…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Manon Kok

In various applications with large spatial regions, the relationship between the response variable and the covariates is expected to exhibit complex spatial patterns. We propose a spatially clustered varying coefficient model, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Fangzheng Lin , Yanlin Tang , Huichen Zhu , Zhongyi Zhu

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the most important phenomena in climate. By studying the fluctuations of surface air temperature within one year between 1979-01-01 and 2016-12-31 of the region (30S-30N, 0E-360E) with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-31 Yongwen Zhang , Jingfang Fan , Xiaoteng Li , Wenqi Liu , Xiaosong Chen

Land surface temperature (LST) is vital for land-atmosphere interactions and climate processes. Accurate LST retrieval remains challenging under heterogeneous land cover and extreme atmospheric conditions. Traditional split window (SW)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-08 Tian Xie , Huanfeng Shen , Menghui Jiang , Juan-Carlos Jiménez-Muñoz , José A. Sobrino , Huifang Li , Chao Zeng

In this paper, we address the problem of hidden common variables discovery from multimodal data sets of nonlinear high-dimensional observations. We present a metric based on local applications of canonical correlation analysis (CCA) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Or Yair , Ronen Talmon

Metocean extremes often vary systematically with covariates such as direction and season. In this work, we present non-stationary models for the size and rate of occurrence of peaks over threshold of metocean variables with respect to one-…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Anna Maria Barlow , Ed Mackay , Emma Eastoe , Philip Jonathan

We propose the Multiple Changepoint Isolation (MCI) method for detecting multiple changes in the mean and covariance of a functional process. We first introduce a pair of projections to represent the variability "between" and "within" the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , James Derek Tucker

The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

A spatial co-location pattern represents a subset of spatial features whose instances are prevalently located together in a geographic space. Although many algorithms of mining spatial co-location pattern have been proposed, there are still…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Xin Hu , Guoyin Wang , Jiangli Duan

Systems exhibiting nonlinear dynamics, including but not limited to chaos, are ubiquitous across Earth Sciences such as Meteorology, Hydrology, Climate and Ecology, as well as Biology such as neural and cardiac processes. However, System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Nishant Yadav , Sai Ravela , Auroop R. Ganguly

Detecting spatial patterns is fundamental to scientific discovery, yet current methods lack statistical consensus and face computational barriers when applied to large-scale spatial omics datasets. We unify major approaches through a single…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-04 Jiayu Su , Jun Hou Fung , Haoyu Wang , Dian Yang , David A. Knowles , Raul Rabadan

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

Accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are often of interest in air pollution studies on fine particulate matters (PM$_{2.5}$), in which data is usually not measured at all study locations. PM$_{2.5}$ is also a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Phuong T. Vu , Timothy V. Larson , Adam A. Szpiro

Neutrinos propagating in a dense neutrino gas, such as those expected in core-collapse supernovae (CCSNe) and neutron star mergers (NSMs), can experience fast flavor conversions on relatively short scales. This can happen if the neutrino…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-05-17 Sajad Abbar

A multiscale numerical method is proposed for the solution of semi-linear elliptic stochastic partial differential equations with localized uncertainties and non-linearities, the uncertainties being modeled by a set of random parameters. It…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Anthony Nouy , Florent Pled

A nearby core collapse supernova will produce a burst of neutrinos in several detectors worldwide. With reasonably high probability, the Earth will shadow the neutrino flux in one or more detectors. In such a case, for allowed oscillation…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-04-06 Kate Scholberg , Armin Burgmeier , Roger Wendell

The first parts of the thesis recalls the main features of the large MACRO experiment at the underground Gran Sasso Laboratory. It then describes the atmospheric muons measured by the experiment and the selection criteria to obtain and…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2009-11-26 A. Moussa

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe