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Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the missing mass, partition function or evidence and its probability distribution in the case that for each sample point in the discrete sample space its (unnormalized) probability mass is revealed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Bastiaan J. Braams

Most clinical trials conducted in drug development contain multiple endpoints in order to collectively assess the intended effects of the drug on various disease characteristics. Focusing on the estimation of the global win probability,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

The estimation of a density profile from experimental data points is a challenging problem, usually tackled by plotting a histogram. Prior assumptions on the nature of the density, from its smoothness to the specification of its form, allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Alberto Bernacchia , Simone Pigolotti

When constructing models of the world, we aim for optimal compressions: models that include as few details as possible while remaining as accurate as possible. But which details -- or features measured in data -- should we choose to include…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-06 David P. Carcamo , Nicholas J. Weaver , Purushottam D. Dixit , Christopher W. Lynn

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

We introduce a procedure to automatically count and locate the fluorescent particles in a microscopy image. Our procedure employs an approximate likelihood estimator derived from a Poisson random field model for photon emission. Estimates…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-10 John Hughes , John Fricks , William Hancock

Multivariate Poisson approximation of the length spectrum of random surfaces is studied by means of the Chen-Stein method. This approach delivers simple and explicit error bounds in Poisson limit theorems. They are used to prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Bram Petri , Christoph Thaele

We consider the problem of estimating the support size of a discrete distribution whose minimum non-zero mass is at least $ \frac{1}{k}$. Under the independent sampling model, we show that the sample complexity, i.e., the minimal sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

In this article, we construct semiparametrically efficient estimators of linear functionals of a probability measure in the presence of side information using an easy empirical likelihood approach. We use estimated constraint functions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Shan Wang , Hanxiang Peng

The development of a new diagnostic test ideally follows a sequence of stages which, amongst other aims, evaluate technical performance. This includes an analytical validity study, a diagnostic accuracy study and an interventional clinical…

This paper addresses the challenge of identifying a minimal subset of discrete, independent variables that best predicts a binary class. We propose an efficient iterative method that sequentially selects variables based on which one…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-03 María del Carmen Romero , Mariana del Fresno , Alejandro Clausse

Addressing the challenge of scaling-up epidemiological inference to complex and heterogeneous models, we introduce Poisson Approximate Likelihood (PAL) methods. In contrast to the popular ODE approach to compartmental modelling, in which a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Michael Whitehouse , Nick Whiteley , Lorenzo Rimella

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

The basic goal of quantization for probability distribution is to reduce the number of values, which is typically uncountable, describing a probability distribution to some finite set and thus approximation of a continuous probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

Models of weak-scale supersymmetry offer viable dark matter (DM) candidates. Their parameter spaces are however rather large and complex, such that pinning down the actual parameter values from experimental data can depend strongly on the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-07-14 Yashar Akrami , Christopher Savage , Pat Scott , Jan Conrad , Joakim Edsjö

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

The small sample universal hypothesis testing problem is investigated in this paper, in which the number of samples $n$ is smaller than the number of possible outcomes $m$. The goal of this work is to find an appropriate criterion to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn

We propose a new method for estimating the intrinsic dimension of a dataset by applying the principle of regularized maximum likelihood to the distances between close neighbors. We propose a regularization scheme which is motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Mithun Das Gupta , Thomas S. Huang
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