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We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

It was proved by Akemann, Ipsen and Kieburg that squared singular values of products of $M$ complex Ginibre random matrices form a determinantal point process whose correlation kernel is expressible in terms of Meijer's $G$-functions.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-19 Eugene Strahov

About two dozens of exactly solvable Markov chains on one-dimensional finite and semi-infinite integer lattices are constructed in terms of convolutions of orthogonality measures of the Krawtchouk, Hahn, Meixner, Charlier, $q$-Hahn,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Satoru Odake , Ryu Sasaki

We study the multi-time distribution in a discrete polynuclear growth model or, equivalently, in directed last-passage percolation with geometric weights. A formula for the joint multi-time distribution function is derived in the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Kurt Johansson , Mustazee Rahman

The two-parameter Macdonald polynomials are a central object of algebraic combinatorics and representation theory. We give a Markov chain on partitions of k with eigenfunctions the coefficients of the Macdonald polynomials when expanded in…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Persi Diaconis , Arun Ram

Questions are posed regarding the influence that the column sums of the transition probabilities of a stochastic matrix (with row sums all one) have on the stationary distribution, the mean first passage times and the Kemeny constant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Jeffrey J. Hunter

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this paper, we aim to provide probabilistic and combinatorial insights into tree formulas for the Green function and hitting probabilities of Markov chains on a finite state space. These tree formulas are closely related to loop-erased…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Jim Pitman , Wenpin Tang

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

The decreasing Markov chain on \{1,2,3, \ldots\} with transition probabilities $p(j,j-i) \propto 1/i$ arises as a key component of the analysis of the beta-splitting random tree model. We give a direct and almost self-contained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-09 David J. Aldous , Svante Janson , Xiaodan Li

We consider the squared singular values of the product of $M$ standard complex Gaussian matrices. Since the squared singular values form a determinantal point process with a particular Meijer G-function kernel, the gap probabilities are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-26 Vladimir V. Mangazeev , Peter J. Forrester

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t)$ in the Euclidean space $\Bbb R^m, \; m\ge 2,$ starting from the origin $\bold 0\in\Bbb R^m$ that, at Poisson-paced times, changes its direction at random according to arbitrary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Alexander D. Kolesnik

We determine an explicit Gr\"obner basis, consisting of linear forms and determinantal quadrics, for the prime ideal of Raftery's mixture transition distribution model for Markov chains. When the states are binary, the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-10 Bernd Sturmfels

The probability that a transient Markov chain, or a Brownian path, will ever visit a given set Lambda, is classically estimated using the capacity of Lambda with respect to the Green kernel G(x,y). We show that replacing the Green kernel by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Itai Benjamini , Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are based on the construction of a Markov chain with transition probabilities leaving invariant a probability distribution of interest. In this work, we look at these transition probabilities as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Rocco Caprio , Adam M. Johansen

Let $X_n$ be a discrete time Markov chain with state space $S$ (countably infinite, in general) and initial probability distribution $\mu^{(0)} = (P(X_0=i_1),P(X_0=i_2),\cdots,)$. What is the probability of choosing in random some $k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Nikolaos Halidias
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