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The outcomes of democratic elections rest on individuals' decision-making that is driven by their varying preferences and beliefs. Individuals may prefer consensus to gridlock, or gridlock to consensus, and information may be fractured via…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-29 Jonathan Engle , Bryce Morsky

We develop a theory of distributive competition under redistricting that explains both electoral outcomes and the equilibrium allocation of policy benefits by endogenizing voter pivotality. In a multi-district model with primaries, general…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-03 Thomas Groll , Sharyn O'Halloran

Competition between varying ideas, people and institutions fuels the dynamics of socio-economic systems. Numerous analyses of the empirical data extracted from different financial markets have established a consistent set of stylized facts…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-17 A. Kononovicius

Two of the main factors shaping an individual's opinion are social coordination and personal preferences, or personal biases. To understand the role of those and that of the topology of the network of interactions, we study an extension of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Filippo Zimmaro , Pierluigi Contucci , János Kertész

The election control problem through social influence asks to find a set of nodes in a social network of voters to be the starters of a political campaign aiming at supporting a given target candidate. Voters reached by the campaign change…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

Historical narratives are dominated by actions of powerful individuals as well as competitions for power. Characterizing the origins, types and competitive strength of different kinds of power may yield a scaffolding for understanding…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-08 Yaneer Bar-Yam

In an election in which each voter ranks all of the candidates, we consider the head-to-head results between each pair of candidates and form a labeled directed graph, called the margin graph, which contains the margin of victory of each…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-08 Matthew Harrison-Trainor

Social influence plays an important role in human behavior and decisions. The sources of influence can be generally divided into external, which are independent of social context, or as originating from peers, such as family and friends. An…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-19 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Junlin Wu , Andrew Estornell , Lecheng Kong , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

A model of the opinion dynamics underlying the political decision is proposed. The analysis is restricted to a bipolar scheme with a possible third political area. The interaction among voters is local but the final decision strongly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Filippo Caruso , Paolo Castorina

We study how electoral rules shape polarization dynamics when voters and candidates both adapt to repeated election outcomes. We introduce two geometric primitives for comparing rules under this feedback: the \emph{winner radius} $R_t =…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Sumit Mukherjee

In modern democracies, the outcome of elections and referendums is often remarkably tight. The repetition of these divisive events are the hallmark of a split society; to the physicist, however, it is an astonishing feat for such large…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-20 Olivier Devauchelle , Piotr Szymczak , Piotr Nowakowski

Voting can abstractly model any decision-making scenario and as such it has been extensively studied over the decades. Recently, the related literature has focused on quantifying the impact of utilizing only limited information in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Evi Micha , Alexandros A. Voudouris

We view voting rules as classifiers that assign a winner (a class) to a profile of voters' preferences (an instance). We propose to apply techniques from formal explainability, most notably abductive and contrastive explanations, to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Clément Contet , Umberto Grandi , Jérôme Mengin

Election results are determined by numerous social factors that affect the formation of opinion of the voters, including the network of interactions between them and the dynamics of opinion influence. In this work we study the result of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Gonzalo Travieso , Luciano da Fontoura Costa

Despite many examples to the contrary, most models of elections assume that rules determining the winner will be followed. We present a model where elections are solely a public signal of the incumbent popularity, and citizens can protests…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-04 Andrew T. Little , Joshua A. Tucker , Tom LaGatta

Data of proportional elections show a striking feature: If the parties are ranked according to the number of their voters, the number of votes grows exponentially with the rank of the party. This so-called Zipf's law has been reported…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-30 Volker Hösel , Johannes Müller , Aurélien Tellier

The traditional axiomatic approach to voting is motivated by the problem of reconciling differences in subjective preferences. In contrast, a dominant line of work in the theory of voting over the past 15 years has considered a different…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-12-19 Flavio Chierichetti , Jon Kleinberg

In an election, we are given a set of voters, each having a preference list over a set of candidates, that are distributed on a social network. We consider a scenario where voters may change their preference lists as a consequence of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

Democratic societies are built around the principle of free and fair elections, that each citizen's vote should count equal. National elections can be regarded as large-scale social experiments, where people are grouped into usually large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Peter Klimek , Yuri Yegorov , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner
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