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Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

For optimizing a non-convex function in finite dimension, a method is to add Brownian noise to a gradient descent, allowing for transitions between basins of attractions of different minimizers. To adapt this for optimization over a space…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Pierre Germain , Pierre Monmarché

We present Shrinking Horizon Model Predictive Control (SHMPC) for discrete-time linear systems with Signal Temporal Logic (STL) specification constraints under stochastic disturbances. The control objective is to maximize an optimization…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Samira S. Farahani , Rupak Majumdar , Vinayak Prabhu , Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

In this work, we consider a differential description of the evolution of the state of a reaction-diffusion system under environmental fluctuations. We are interested in estimating the state of the system when only partial observations are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Augusto Magalhães , Otacílio B. L. Neto , Francesco Corona

Identifying the right tools to express the stochastic aspects of neural activity has proven to be one of the biggest challenges in computational neuroscience. Even if there is no definitive answer to this issue, the most common procedure to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-12 Grégory Dumont , Jacques Henry , Carmen Oana Tarniceriu

Calculating true volatility is an essential task for option pricing and risk management. However, it is made difficult by market microstructure noise. Particle filtering has been proposed to solve this problem as it favorable statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Robert Stok , Paul Bilokon

This paper exposes a novel exploratory formalism, which end goal is the numerical simulation of the dynamics of a cloud of particles weakly or strongly coupled with a turbulent fluid. Giventhe large panel of expertise of the list of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Ludovic Goudenège , Adam Larat , Julie Llobell , Marc Massot , David Mercier , Olivier Thomine , Aymeric Vié

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

We address control synthesis of stochastic discrete-time linear multi-agent systems under jointly chance-constrained collaborative signal temporal logic specifications in a distribution-free manner using available disturbance samples, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-27 Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Computational aspects of the optimal consumption and investment with the partially observed stochastic volatility of the asset prices are considered. The new quantization approach to filtering - density quantization - is introduced which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-30 Grzegorz Hałaj

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

In this paper, we present an optimal filter for linear time-varying continuous-time stochastic systems that simultaneously estimates the states and unknown inputs in an unbiased minimum-variance sense. We first show that the unknown inputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Eviatar Bach , Tim Colonius , Isabel Scherl , Andrew Stuart

We study a large deviation functional of density fluctuation by analyzing stochastic non-linear diffusion equations driven by the difference between the densities fixed at the boundaries. By using a fundamental equality that yields the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Shin-ichi Sasa