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Related papers: Statistics of football dynamics

200 papers

Predicting the results of sport matches and competitions is an arising research field, benefiting from the growing amount of available data and the novel data analytics techniques. Excellent forecasts can be achieved by advanced machine…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-20 Giuseppe Jurman

Statistical physics has proven to be a very fruitful framework to describe phenomena outside the realm of traditional physics. The last years have witnessed the attempt by physicists to study collective phenomena emerging from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-05-11 Claudio Castellano , Santo Fortunato , Vittorio Loreto

Team-based invasion sports such as football, basketball and hockey are similar in the sense that the players are able to move freely around the playing area; and that player and team performance cannot be fully analysed without considering…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-04-17 Joachim Gudmundsson , Michael Horton

In this paper, we extend some ideas of statistical physics to describe the properties of human mobility. From a physical point of view, we consider the statistical empirical laws of private cars mobility, taking advantage of a GPS database…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-12 Riccardo Gallotti , Armando Bazzani , Sandro Rambaldi

We analyse the distributions of the number of goals scored by home teams, away teams, and the total scored in the match, in domestic football games from 169 countries between 1999 and 2001. The probability density functions (PDFs) of goals…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. Greenhough , P. C. Birch , S. C. Chapman , G. Rowlands

In recent years, great emphasis has been placed on the prediction of association football. Due to this, several studies have proposed different types of statistical models to predict the outcome of a football match. However, most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Roberto Macrì-Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

In soccer, passing is the most frequent interaction between players and plays a significant role in creating scoring chances. Experts are interested in analyzing players' passing behavior to learn passing tactics, i.e., how players build up…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Xiao Xie , Jiachen Wang , Hongye Liang , Dazhen Deng , Shoubin Cheng , Hui Zhang , Wei Chen , Yingcai Wu

We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

The objective of this study was to incorporate contextual information into the modelling of player movements. This was achieved by combining the distributions of forthcoming passing contests that players committed to and those they did not.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Bartholomew Spencer , Karl Jackson , Sam Robertson

Football fans frequently exhibit pronounced emotional and physiological reactions during high-stakes matches. However, the temporal dynamics of this football fever are rarely modeled as a latent process. Using intensive longitudinal data…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Jonas Bauer , Christiane Fuchs , Tamara Schamberger

Women's football is gaining supporters and practitioners worldwide, raising questions about what the differences are with men's football. While the two sports are often compared based on the players' physical attributes, we analyze the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-15 Luca Pappalardo , Alessio Rossi , Giuseppe Pontillo , Michela Natilli , Paolo Cintia

Change of direction is a key element of player movement in American football, yet there remains a lack of objective approaches for in-game performance evaluation of this athletic trait. Using tracking data, we propose a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

In this paper we present a novel approach to optimise tactical and strategic decision making in football (soccer). We model the game of football as a multi-stage game which is made up from a Bayesian game to model the pre-match decisions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

We analyze the time series of soccer matches in a model-free way using data for the German soccer league (Bundesliga). We argue that the goal difference is a better measure for the overall fitness of a team than the number of points. It is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

We showcase in this paper the use of some tools from network theory to describe the strategy of football teams. Using passing data made available by FIFA during the 2010 World Cup, we construct for each team a weighted and directed network…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Javier López Peña , Hugo Touchette

A mass of traces of human activities show diverse dynamic patterns. In this paper, we comprehensively investigate the dynamic pattern of human attention defined by the quantity of interests on subdisciplines in an online academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-29 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Ya-Chun Gao , Shi-Min Cai

Statistical properties of position-dependent ball-passing networks in real football games are examined. We find that the networks have the small-world property, and their degree distributions are fitted well by a truncated gamma…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-17 Takuma Narizuka , Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Understanding human dynamics is of major scientific and practical importance and can be increasingly addressed in a quantitative fashion thanks to electronic records capturing various human activity patterns. The authors of Ref. [1] revisit…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. -L. Barabasi , K. -I. Goh , A. Vazquez

Managerial decision making is likely to be a dominant determinant of performance of teams in team sports. Here we use Japanese and German football data to investigate correlates between temporal patterns of formation changes across matches…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-20 Kohei Tamura , Naoki Masuda

One of the main shortcomings of event data in football, which has been extensively used for analytics in the recent years, is that it still requires manual collection, thus limiting its availability to a reduced number of tournaments. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Ferran Vidal-Codina , Nicolas Evans , Bahaeddine El Fakir , Johsan Billingham