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We develop estimation and inference methods for a stylized macroeconomic model with potentially multiple behavioural equilibria, where agents form expectations using a constant-gain learning rule. We first show geometric ergodicity of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Alexander Mayer , Davide Raggi

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

This paper examines nonparametric regression with an exogenous threshold variable, allowing for an unknown number of thresholds. Given the number of thresholds and corresponding threshold values, we first establish the asymptotic properties…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-26 Yan-Yu Chiou , Mei-Yuan Chen , Jau-er Chen

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the locations of change points in a high-dimensional mean shift model. To that end, we develop a locally refitted least squares estimator and obtain component-wise and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Abhishek Kaul , George Michailidis

This paper investigates multistep prediction errors for non-stationary autoregressive processes with both model order and true parameters unknown. We give asymptotic expressions for the multistep mean squared prediction errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Ching-Kang Ing , Jin-Lung Lin , Shu-Hui Yu

The scope of this research is the identification of unknown piecewise constant parameters of linear regression equation under the finite excitation condition. Compared to the known methods, to make the computational burden lower, only one…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We consider unregularized robust M-estimators for linear models under Gaussian design and heavy-tailed noise, in the proportional asymptotics regime where the sample size n and the number of features p are both increasing such that $p/n \to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Pierre C. Bellec , Takuya Koriyama

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

We study the distribution of hard-, soft-, and adaptive soft-thresholding estimators within a linear regression model where the number of parameters k can depend on sample size n and may diverge with n. In addition to the case of known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Benedikt M. Pötscher , Ulrike Schneider

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

This study proposes a point estimator of the break location for a one-time structural break in linear regression models. If the break magnitude is small, the least-squares estimator of the break date has two modes at the ends of the finite…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-04 Yaein Baek

In this paper, we develop new multiscale methods to test qualitative hypotheses about the regression function m in a nonparametric regression model with fixed design points and time series errors. In time series applications, m represents a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

In this manuscript, we discuss a class of difference-based estimators of the autocovariance structure in a semiparametric regression model where the signal is discontinuous and the errors are serially correlated. The signal in this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Michael Levine , Inder Tecuapetla-Gomez

This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

This paper studies phase transitions for the existence of unregularized M-estimators under proportional asymptotics where the sample size $n$ and feature dimension $p$ grow proportionally with $n/p \to \delta \in (1, \infty)$. We study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Takuya Koriyama , Pierre C. Bellec

We consider a network of sensors deployed to sense a spatio-temporal field and estimate a parameter of interest. We are interested in the case where the temporal process sensed by each sensor can be modeled as a state-space process that is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-04-12 S. Sundhar Ram , V. V. Veeravalli , A. Nedic