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The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper mainly addresses the optimization of $p$-th moment of $\mathbb{R}^n$-valued random variable. Through an ingenious approximation mechanism, one transforms the maximization problem into a sequence of minimization problems, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Xiaojun Lu , Yanhua Wu

We give answer to an open problem regarding consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) involving crossed random effects. The solution to the open problem introduces an interesting,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Jiming Jiang

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

Bayesian inference provides a flexible way of combining data with prior information. However, quantile regression is not equipped with a parametric likelihood, and therefore, Bayesian inference for quantile regression demands careful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Yunwen Yang , Xuming He

Many psychological theories can be operationalized as linear inequality constraints on the parameters of multinomial distributions (e.g., discrete choice analysis). These constraints can be described in two equivalent ways: Either as the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Daniel W. Heck , Clintin P. Davis-Stober

A way of constructing a nonlinear filter close to the optimal Kolmogorov - Wiener filter is proposed within the framework of the statistical approach to inverse problems. Quasi-optimal filtering, which has no Bayesian assumptions, produces…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Yu. Terebizh

We investigate the problem of semi-parametric maximum likelihood under constraints on summary statistics. Such a procedure results in a discrete probability distribution that maximises the likelihood among all such distributions under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Subhro Ghosh , Sanjay Chaudhuri

Understanding the nature of strategic voting is the holy grail of social choice theory, where game-theory, social science and recently computational approaches are all applied in order to model the incentives and behavior of voters. In a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-11-19 Reshef Meir

We consider discrete optimization problems with interval uncertatinty of objective function coefficients. The interval uncertainty models measurements errors. A pos\-sible optimal solution is a solution that is optimal for some possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Alexander Prolubnikov

The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-29 Andrew Barron , Teemu Roos , Kazuho Watanabe

This paper is concerned with a class of nonhomogeneous quasilinear elliptic system driven by the locally symmetric potential and the small continuous perturbations in the whole-space $\mathbb{R}^N$. By a variant of Clark's theorem without…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-08-14 Cuiling Liu , Xingyong Zhang , Liben Wang

Bernoulli's free boundary problem is an overdetermined problem in which one seeks an annular domain such that the capacitary potential satisfies an extra boundary condition. There exist two different types of solutions called elliptic and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Antoine Henrot , Michiaki Onodera

A new numerical method to solve an inverse source problem for the Helmholtz equation in inhomogenous media is proposed. This method reduces the original inverse problem to a boundary value problem for a coupled system of elliptic PDEs, in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Loc H. Nguyen , Qitong Li , Michael V. Klibanov

In the Bradley-Terry model for paired comparisons, and its extensions to include order effects and ties, the maximum likelihood estimates of probabilities of certain outcomes can be 0 or 1 under certain data configurations. This poses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kenneth Butler , John T. Whelan

The fate of scientific hypotheses often relies on the ability of a computational model to explain the data, quantified in modern statistical approaches by the likelihood function. The log-likelihood is the key element for parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Bas van Opheusden , Luigi Acerbi , Wei Ji Ma

Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

The interplay between missing data and model uncertainty -- two classic statistical problems -- leads to primary questions that we formally address from an objective Bayesian perspective. For the general regression problem, we discuss the…

The true posterior distribution of a Bayesian neural network is massively multimodal. Whilst most of these modes are functionally equivalent, we demonstrate that there remains a level of real multimodality that manifests in even the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-24 David Yallup , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby , Pablo Lemos

We analyze hypotheses tests using classical results on large deviations to compare two models, each one described by a different H\"older Gibbs probability measure. One main difference to the classical hypothesis tests in Decision Theory is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Hermes H. Ferreira , Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes