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We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

Under the potential outcomes framework, causal effects are defined as comparisons between potential outcomes under treatment and control. To infer causal effects from randomized experiments, Neyman proposed to test the null hypothesis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Peng Ding

Capture-recapture data are often collected when abundance estimation is of interest. In the presence of unobserved individual heterogeneity, specified on a continuous scale for the capture probabilities, the likelihood is not generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Ruth King , Brett T. McClintock , Darren Kidney , David Borchers

Two-class classification problems are often characterized by an imbalance between the number of majority and minority datapoints resulting in poor classification of the minority class in particular. Traditional approaches, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Karen Medlin , Sven Leyffer , Krishnan Raghavan

The all-versus-nothing proof of Bell nonlocality is a kind of mainstream demonstration of Bell's theorem without inequalities. Two kinds of such proofs, called the deterministic all-versus-nothing proof and the probabilistic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-05 Weidong Tang

Likelihood-free inference refers to inference when a likelihood function cannot be explicitly evaluated, which is often the case for models based on simulators. Most of the literature is based on sample-based `Approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Conor Durkan , George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

We consider the problem of binary classification with abstention in the relatively less studied \emph{bounded-rate} setting. We begin by obtaining a characterization of the Bayes optimal classifier for an arbitrary input-label distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-24 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Tara Javidi

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

We present a new duality theory for non-convex variational problems, under possibly mixed Dirichlet and Neumann boundary conditions. The dual problem reads nicely as a linear programming problem, and our main result states that there is no…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Guy Bouchitté , Ilaria Fragalà

Our results characterize the long-term behavior for a broad class of $\Lambda$-Wright--Fisher processes with frequency-dependent and environmental selection. In particular, we reveal a rich variety of parameter-dependent behaviors and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel , Grégoire Véchambre

We establish thresholds for the feasibility of random multi-graph alignment in two models. In the Gaussian model, we demonstrate an "all-or-nothing" phenomenon: above a critical threshold, exact alignment is achievable with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Louis Vassaux , Laurent Massoulié

In this paper, we study a matricial version of the Byrnes-Georgiou-Lindquist generalized moment problem with complexity constraint. We introduce a new metric on multivariable spectral densities induced by the family of their spectral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Ferrante , M. Pavon , F. Ramponi

The problem of robust binary hypothesis testing is studied. Under both hypotheses, the data-generating distributions are assumed to belong to uncertainty sets constructed through moments; in particular, the sets contain distributions whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Akshayaa Magesh , Zhongchang Sun , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Shaofeng Zou

In this work, we derive some novel properties of the bimodal normal distribution. Some of its mathematical properties are examined. We provide a formal proof for the bimodality and assess identifiability. We then discuss the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Jamer Roldan

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

Minimizing divergence measures under a constraint is an important problem. We derive a sufficient condition that binary divergence measures provide lower bounds for symmetric divergence measures under a given triangular discrimination or…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Tomohiro Nishiyama

In this paper, our interest is in the problem of simultaneous hypothesis testing when the test statistics corresponding to the individual hypotheses are possibly correlated. Specifically, we consider the case when the test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Anupam Kundu , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Fisher's fiducial argument is widely viewed as a failed version of Neyman's theory of confidence limits. But Fisher's goal -- Bayesian-like probabilistic uncertainty quantification without priors -- was more ambitious than Neyman's, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Ryan Martin

Normal mixture distributions are arguably the most important mixture models, and also the most technically challenging. The likelihood function of the normal mixture model is unbounded based on a set of random samples, unless an artificial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Jiahua Chen , Pengfei Li

Causal inference in completely randomized treatment-control studies with binary outcomes is discussed from Fisherian, Neymanian and Bayesian perspectives, using the potential outcomes framework. A randomization-based justification of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Peng Ding , Tirthankar Dasgupta
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