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This note proves a law of large numbers for predicting several steps ahead, which, in the case of uniformly bounded random variables, generalizes the standard law of large numbers for martingales; the standard law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Vladimir Vovk

Suppose you look at today's stock prices and bet on the value of the first digit. One could guess that a fair bet should correspond to the frequency of $1/9 = 11.11%$ for each digit from 1 to 9. This is by no means the case, and one can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 L. Pietronero , E. Tosatti , V. Tosatti , A. Vespignani

For a sample of absolutely bounded i.i.d. random variables with a continuous density the cumulative distribution function of the sample variance is represented by a univariate integral over a Fourier series. If the density is a polynomial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-10 T. Royen

Motivated by giving a meaning to "The probability that a random integer has initial digit d", we define a URI-set as a random set E of natural integers such that each n>0 belongs to E with probability 1/n, independently of other integers.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Élise Janvresse , Thierry De La Rue

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

In this paper, we are concerned with multivariate Gegenbauer approximation of functions defined in the $d$-dimensional hypercube. Two new and sharper bounds for the coefficients of multivariate Gegenbauer expansion of analytic functions are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-03 Haiyong Wang , Lun Zhang

We derive refined entropy upper bounds for $q$-ary $B_2$ codes by exploiting the Fourier structure of the i.i.d. difference distribution $D=X-Y$. Since the pmf of $D$ is an autocorrelation, its Fourier series is a nonnegative trigonometric…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Stefano Della Fiore

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

This paper presents a saddlepoint approximation of the random-coding union bound of Polyanskiy et al. for i.i.d. random coding over discrete memoryless channels. The approximation is single-letter, and can thus be computed efficiently.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-28 Jonathan Scarlett , Alfonso Martinez , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

We give a high precision polynomial-time approximation scheme for the supremum of any honest n-variate (n+2)-nomial with a constant term, allowing real exponents as well as real coefficients. Our complexity bounds count field operations and…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Philippe Pebay , J. Maurice Rojas , David C. Thompson

The occurrence of first significant digits of numbers in large data is often governed by a logarithmically decreasing distribution called Benford's law (BL), reported first by S. Newcomb (SN) and many decades later independently by F.…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Tariq Ahmad Mir

We consider the spectral radius of a large random matrix $X$ with independent, identically distributed entries. We show that its typical size is given by a precise three-term asymptotics with an optimal error term beyond the radius of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Giorgio Cipolloni , László Erdős , Yuanyuan Xu

The Newcomb-Benford Law, which is also called the first digit phenomenon, has applications in diverse phenomena ranging from social and computer networks, engineering systems, natural sciences, and accounting. In forensics, it has been used…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-19 Subhash Kak

In a recent preprint on arXiv Roland Bacher showed that the number $p_d$ of non-similar perfect $d$-dimensional quadratic forms satisfies $e^{\Omega(d)} < p_d < e^{O(d^3\log(d))}$. We improve the upper bound to $e^{O(d^2\log(d))}$ by a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Wessel P. J. van Woerden

For a large class of quickly mixing dynamical systems, we prove that the error in the almost sure approximation with a Brownian motion is of order O((log n)^a) with a $\ge$ 2. Specifically, we consider nonuniformly expanding maps with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , A Korepanov , Florence Merlevède

Let $\mathcal{I} \subset \mathbb{N}$ be an infinite subset, and let $\{a_i\}_{i \in \mathcal{I}}$ be a sequence of nonzero real numbers indexed by $\mathcal{I}$ such that there exist positive constants $m, C_1$ for which $|a_i| \leq C_1…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Evan Chen , Peter S. Park , Ashvin Swaminathan

There are now many theoretical explanations for why Benford's law of digit bias surfaces in so many diverse fields and data sets. After briefly reviewing some of these, we discuss in depth recurrence relations. As these are discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Madeleine Farris , Noah Luntzlara , Steven J. Miller , Lily Shao , Mengxi Wang

The study of finite approximations of probability measures has a long history. In (Xu and Berger, 2017), the authors focus on constrained finite approximations and, in particular, uniform ones in dimension $d=1$. The present paper gives an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Julien Chevallier

We show that the frequency distribution of the first significant digits of the numbers in the data sets generated from a large class of measures of quantum correlations, which are either entanglement measures, or belong to the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-07-28 Titas Chanda , Tamoghna Das , Debasis Sadhukhan , Amit Kumar Pal , Aditi Sen De , Ujjwal Sen

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution $\mathbb P(X_1=1)=\mathbb P(X_1=-1)=1/2$. Let $F(\sigma)=\sum_{n=1}^\infty X_nn^{-\sigma}$. We prove that the following holds almost surely…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Marco Aymone , Susana Frómeta , Ricardo Misturini
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