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Let $(B_t)_{0\leq t\leq T}$ be either a Bernoulli random walk or a Brownian motion with drift, and let $M_t:=\max\{B_s: 0\leq s\leq t\}$, $0\leq t\leq T$. This paper solves the general optimal prediction problem \sup_{0\leq\tau\leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-09 Pieter C. Allaart

We study an optimal stopping problem with an unbounded, time-dependent and discontinuous reward function. This problem is motivated by the pricing of a variable annuity contract with guaranteed minimum maturity benefit, under the assumption…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Anne Mackay , Marie-Claude Vachon

We consider a sequence of independent random variables with the known distribution observed sequentially. The observation $n$ is assumed to be a value of one order statistics such as s:n-th, where 1 is less than s is less than n. It the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Zdzisław Porosiński , Marek Skarupski , Krzysztof Szajowski

In the classical optimal stopping problem, a player is given a sequence of random variables $X_1\ldots X_n$ with known distributions. After observing the realization of $X_i$, the player can either accept the observed reward from $X_i$ and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Shipra Agrawal , Jay Sethuraman , Xingyu Zhang

We consider a new type of optimal stopping problems where the absorbing boundary moves as the state process X attains new maxima S. More specifically, we set the absorbing boundary as S-b where b is a certain constant. This problem is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Masahiko Egami , Tadao Oryu

We consider an optimal stopping time problem related with many models found in real options problems. The main goal of this work is to bring for the field of real options, different and more realistic pay-off functions, and negative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Manuel Guerra , Cláudia Nunes , Carlos Oliveira

In this paper, we study a continuous-time discounted jump Markov decision process with both controlled actions and observations. The observation is only available for a discrete set of time instances. At each time of observation, one has to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Yunhan Huang , Veeraruna Kavitha , Quanyan Zhu

We revisit the problem of selecting an item from $n$ choices that appear before us in random sequential order so as to minimize the expected rank of the item selected. In particular, we examine the stopping rule where we reject the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-10 Béla Bajnok , Svetoslav Semov

We study the best-choice problem for processes which generalise the process of records from Poisson-paced i.i.d. observations. Under the assumption that the observer knows distribution of the process and the horizon, we determine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

We model learning in a continuous-time Brownian setting where there is prior ambiguity. The associated model of preference values robustness and is time-consistent. It is applied to study optimal learning when the choice between actions can…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

We analyze an optimal stopping problem with a series of inequality-type and equality-type expectation constraints in a general non-Markovian framework. We show that the optimal stopping problem with expectation constraints (OSEC) in an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

We solve the problem of optimal stopping of a Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the stopping time's distribution is a given measure consisting of finitely-many atoms. In particular, we show that this problem can be converted to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Christopher W. Miller

We consider an irreversible investment problem under incomplete information, where the investor decides whether and when to make investments in a project. Upon investment, the investor acquires previously hidden information from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Topias Tolonen-Weckström

We consider a diffusion risk model where proportional reinsurance can be bought. In order to stabilise the surplus process, one tries to keep the drawdown, that is the difference of the surplus to its historical maximum, in an interval…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Kira Dudziak , Hanspeter Schmidli

A random walk (or a Wiener process), possibly with drift, is observed in a noisy or delayed fashion. The problem considered in this paper is to estimate the first time \tau the random walk reaches a given level. Specifically, the p-moment…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-22 Marat V. Burnashev , Aslan Tchamkerten

We investigate optimal stopping problems for systems driven by the Brownian sheet. Our analysis is divided into two parts. In the first part we derive explicit solutions to two optimal stopping problems for the exponentially discounted…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Nacira Agram , Bernt Oksendal , Frank Proske , Olena Tymoshenko

We explore the question of how to learn an optimal search strategy within the example of a parking problem where parking opportunities arrive according to an unknown inhomogeneous Poisson process. The optimal policy is a threshold-type…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Stefan Ankirchner , Maximilian Philipp Thiel

Given a standard Brownian motion $B^{\mu}=(B_t^{\mu})_{0\le t\le T}$ with drift $\mu \in \mathbb{R}$ and letting $S_t^{\mu}=\max_{0\le s\le t}B_s^{\mu}$ for $0\le t\le T$, we consider the optimal prediction problem: \[V=\inf_{0\le \tau \le…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. du Toit , G. Peskir

We develop a theory for solving continuous time optimal stopping problems for non-linear expectations. Our motivation is to consider problems in which the stopper uses risk measures to evaluate future rewards.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao