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Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-05 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

Online damage quantification suffers from insufficient labeled data that weakens its accuracy. In this context, adopting the domain adaptation on historical labeled data from similar structures/damages or simulated digital twin data to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Xuan Zhou , Claudio Sbarufatti , Marco Giglio , Leiting Dong

In this paper, we propose a novel weighted combination feature selection method using bootstrap and fuzzy sets. The proposed method mainly consists of three processes, including fuzzy sets generation using bootstrap, weighted combination of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Zixiao Shen , Xin Chen , Jonathan M. Garibaldi

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain a better generalization performance. In this work we present a practical method for estimating the joint power of several classifiers. It differs from existing approaches which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Simi Haber , Yonatan Wexler

We investigate methods for penalized regression in the presence of missing observations. This paper introduces a method for estimating the parameters which compensates for the missing observations. We first, derive an unbiased estimator of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-09 Yunjin Choi , Robert Tibshirani

We present a neural network for predicting purchasing intent in an Ecommerce setting. Our main contribution is to address the significant investment in feature engineering that is usually associated with state-of-the-art methods such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Humphrey Sheil , Omer Rana , Ronan Reilly

Neural network is a powerful learning paradigm for data feature learning in the era of big data. However, most neural network models are deterministic models that ignore the uncertainty of data. Fuzzy neural networks are proposed to address…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-15 Sheng-Yao Wu , Run-Ze Li , Yan-Qi Song , Su-Juan Qin , Qiao-Yan Wen , Fei Gao

Recent progress in aspect-level sentiment classification has been propelled by the incorporation of graph neural networks (GNNs) leveraging syntactic structures, particularly dependency trees. Nevertheless, the performance of these models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Jane Sunny , Tom Padraig , Roggie Terry , Woods Ali

A framework of online adaptive statistical compressed sensing is introduced for signals following a mixture model. The scheme first uses non-adaptive measurements, from which an online decoding scheme estimates the model selection. As soon…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-12-30 Julio Duarte-Carvajalino , Guillermo Sapiro , Guoshen Yu , Lawrence Carin

Model-based clustering integrated with variable selection is a powerful tool for uncovering latent structures within complex data. However, its effectiveness is often hindered by challenges such as identifying relevant variables that define…

In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Miha Ožbot , Igor Škrjanc , Vitomir Štruc

In multi-attribute decision-making problems where the attribute values are interval grey numbers, a simplified form based on kernels and the degree of greyness is presented. Combining fuzzy graph theory with the kernel and the degree of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-22 Wanli Xie , Jiale Zhang , Ruiqing Cao

Ensembles of artificial neural networks show improved generalization capabilities that outperform those of single networks. However, for aggregation to be effective, the individual networks must be as accurate and diverse as possible. An…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 P. M. Granitto , P. F. Verdes , H. A. Ceccatto

Methods for analyzing or learning from "fuzzy data" have attracted increasing attention in recent years. In many cases, however, existing methods (for precise, non-fuzzy data) are extended to the fuzzy case in an ad-hoc manner, and without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-10 Eyke Hüllermeier

In this paper, we employ variational arguments to establish a connection between ensemble methods for Neural Networks and Bayesian inference. We consider an ensemble-based scheme where each model/particle corresponds to a perturbation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Dimitrios Milios , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

Ordinal regression bridges regression and classification by assigning objects to ordered classes. While human experts rely on discriminative patch-level features for decisions, current approaches are limited by the availability of only…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chunlai Dong , Haochao Ying , Qibo Qiu , Jinhong Wang , Danny Chen , Jian Wu

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

We introduce a new procedure for training of artificial neural networks by using the approximation of an objective function by arithmetic mean of an ensemble of selected randomly generated neural networks, and apply this procedure to the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-02-21 S. V. Kozyrev

Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Juan J. Ruiz , Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo

This paper presents a novel online identification algorithm for nonlinear regression models. The online identification problem is challenging due to the presence of nonlinear structure in the models. Previous works usually ignore the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Guang-Yong Chen , Min Gan , Jing Chen , Long Chen