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We fit the exponent of the Pareto distribution, that is equivalent or can approximate the continuous power law distribution given a cutoff point, using linear regression (LR). We use LR on the logged variables of the empirical tail (one…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-21 Samuel Forbes

Random variables of the generalized Pareto distribution, can be transformed to that of the Pareto distribution. Explicit expressions exist for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the Pareto distribution. The performance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

The theory of Extreme Physical Information (EPI) is used to deduce a probability density function (PDF) of a system that exhibits a power law tail. The computed PDF is useful to study and fit several observed distributions in complex…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-03-21 Ricardo Bonilla , Roberto Zarama , Juan Alejandro Valdivia

Multiple root estimation problems in statistical inference arise in many contexts in the literature. In the context of maximum likelihood estimation, the existence of multiple roots causes uncertainty in the computation of maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-16 Elizabeth Gross , Sonja Petrović , Donald Richards , Despina Stasi

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as elementary example of a probability model. In the past, enumeration and order statistic-based methods have been suggested for the maximum likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

The advent of data science has spurred interest in estimating properties of distributions over large alphabets. Fundamental symmetric properties such as support size, support coverage, entropy, and proximity to uniformity, received most…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Jayadev Acharya , Hirakendu Das , Alon Orlitsky , Ananda Theertha Suresh

In many complex systems, large events are believed to follow power-law, scale-free probability distributions, so that the extreme, catastrophic events are unpredictable. Here, we study coupled chaotic oscillators that display extreme…

We propose an explicit recursive method to approximate a power-law with a finite sum of weighted exponentials. Applications to moving averages with long memory are discussed in relationship with stochastic volatility models.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Thierry Bochud , Damien Challet

The maximum likelihood method offers a standard way to estimate the three parameters of a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Combined with the block maxima method, it is often used in practice to assess the extreme value index…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-24 Clément Dombry

The vanilla method in univariate extreme-value theory consists of fitting the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value (GEV) distribution to a sample of block maxima. Despite claims to the contrary, the asymptotic normality of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Consensus about the universality of the power law feature in complex networks is experiencing profound challenges. To shine fresh light on this controversy, we propose a generic theoretical framework in order to examine the power law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-24 Xiaojun Zhang , Zheng He , Liwei Zhang , Lez Rayman-Bacchus , Yue Xiao , Shuhui Shen

We introduce a new statistical tool (the TP-statistic and TE-statistic) designed specifically to compare the behavior of the sample tail of distributions with power-law and exponential tails as a function of the lower threshold u. One…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

Many physical processes result in very uneven, apparently random, distributions of matter, characterized by fluctuations of the local density over orders of magnitude. The density of matter in the sparsest regions can have a power-law…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-27 Michael Wilkinson , Marc Pradas , Greg Huber , Alain Pumir

The prevailing maximum likelihood estimators for inferring power law models from rank-frequency data are biased. The source of this bias is an inappropriate likelihood function. The correct likelihood function is derived and shown to be…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-27 Charlie Pilgrim , Thomas T Hills

In this paper we delve into some important properties of probability distributions of the power type in order to provide some answers to questions recently raised in the literature. More precisely, we focus on the properties of maximizers…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Vignat , A. Plastino

The Hill estimator is often used to infer the power behavior in tails of experimental distribution functions. This estimator is known to produce bad results in certain situations which have lead to the so-called Hill horror plots. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Jean Nuyts

We present an algorithmic approach to estimate the value distributions of random variables of probabilistic loops whose statistical moments are (partially) known. Based on these moments, we apply two statistical methods, Maximum Entropy and…

This article describes mathematical methods for estimating the top-tail of the wealth distribution and therefrom the share of total wealth that the richest $p$ percent hold, which is an intuitive measure of inequality. As the data base for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

In this paper we study the Exponentiated Hypoexponential Distribution with different parameters. The distribution added a parameter to the n parameters of the Hypoexponenial distribution. We first derive a closed expression of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-03 Anass Nassabein , Therrar Kadri , Seifideen Kadry , Khaled Smaili